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The Saturday Letter · Vol. 1 · No. 32

Week of the water

August 3 – August 9, 2026 · August fundamentals · Mexico · 1 of 1 desk · frozen Saturday issue

Permalink: /newsletter/2026-08-08

This week on your coast

Ascension

7.0

Permit should be the day — Boca Paila and the drains; tarpon live in the darker mouths.

Same heat. Gordo if the water is right. Ascension at dawn. Sail are a winter story.

This edition is Mexico only — Mexico. Coasts you did not elect stay off this letter. Scores are 1–10. They are not bite guarantees. Read this month’s seasonal fundamentals.

Mexico

That Saturday

Mexico desk

Ascension

Two oceans

7.0OF 10

Today

medium

Permit should be the day — Boca Paila and the drains; tarpon live in the darker mouths.

Same heat. Gordo if the water is right. Ascension at dawn. Sail are a winter story.

Water.
4 mph NNE · 49% rain
Tide.
outgoing
Moon.
Waxing gibbous · mid
Window.
Outgoing water — Moving water in the right part of the day.
6.6Tarpon6.6Permit

— Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).

— Partly cloudy. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.

Open the Ascension brief

Box score · August

In peak this month

  • Hogfish

    Mexico

    Keys and Caribbean patch reefs. Not a Texas bay fish. Not a bonefish headline. He lives on the hard bottom, not the grass.

  • Yellowtail snapper

    Mexico

    Islamorada to Key West, then the Bahamas and the Spanish Virgins. Patch reefs and the first drop. Absent from Texas bays.

  • Mangrove / gray snapper

    Mexico

    The snapper that will live in a Texas jetty and a Keys creek. Schoolies on structure. Bigger fish on the wrecks. Not a yellowtail.

  • Lane snapper

    Mexico

    Nearshore Gulf and Caribbean hard bottom. Texas jetties and the first reefs. Not the federal red-snapper story.

  • King mackerel

    Mexico

    Texas and Florida summer kings. The beach and the first wrecks. Not a trout. Not a wahoo.

  • Striped marlin

    Mexico

    Eastern Pacific. East Cape and the mouth of the Cortez. Absent from Texas, Louisiana, the Keys, the Bahamas, Puerto Rico, and the Seychelles. Same rule as the rooster: this ocean only.

  • Roosterfish

    Mexico

    Eastern Pacific — Baja East Cape and La Paz, Costa Rica, Panama. Absent from Texas, Louisiana, the Keys, the Bahamas, Puerto Rico, and the Seychelles. Lives on this atlas only on the Mexico Pacific desks.

Noise, not the headline: Jack crevalle, Great barracuda.

Regs citedCONAPESCA recreational license · current CONAPESCA rules · rolls in 8 days. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water. Roosterfish is Baja, not the Gulf.