Week of the water

Redfish are the hunt — push West and East Bay grass as the wind lets water back in. Heat is the clock — first light or last light.

Bathtub bays. Night and first-light reds. Trout in guts and over deep grass. Beach tarpon if you already know the water.

Water.

9 mph SSW · 0% rain · 92°F water

Tide.

incoming · -0.3 ft vs the table

Moon.

Waxing gibbous · mid

Window.

Incoming water — Moving water in the right part of the day.

— Tide is incoming from NOAA.

— Observed water is close to the astronomical prediction — the table is telling the truth today.

Redfish should be the day — flood the west-bank ponds, then the south passes if the bulls are in.

Birdfoot tarpon if you already know the water. Night and first-light reds. Trout in the lakes.

Water.

2 mph ESE · 7% rain

Tide.

incoming · -0.5 ft vs the table

Moon.

Waxing gibbous · mid

Window.

Incoming water — Moving water in the right part of the day.

— Tide is incoming from NOAA.

— On this coast the wind often outruns the printed tide. Observed water is -0.45 ft versus the prediction.

Permit are the hunt — oceanside permit and bones, or Channel 5 current — not a Texas marsh sentence. Heat is the clock — first light or last light.

Snook still closed. Boca Pass is a heat-and-current problem. Summer showers can switch a Key West flat on once they clear.

Water.

3 mph ESE · thunderstorms · 92°F water

Tide.

incoming · +0.3 ft vs the table

Moon.

Waxing gibbous · mid

Window.

Incoming water — Moving water in the right part of the day.

— Tide is incoming from NOAA.

— Observed water is close to the astronomical prediction — the table is telling the truth today.

Permit should be the day — west-side white sand — schools, then the double-digit singles.

Schoolie bones and resident tarpon. The lodge week is a heat-management problem as much as a fish problem.

Water.

4 mph NE · 0% rain

Tide.

incoming

Moon.

Waxing gibbous · mid

Window.

Incoming water — Moving water in the right part of the day.

— Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).

— Clear · 0%. Sky is workable.

Permit are the hunt — wait for the next inch — this bay empties.

Baja peak offshore. Dorado and tuna. Rooster at first light. Yucatan is a shade problem.

Water.

5 mph N · 35% rain

Tide.

low slack

Moon.

Waxing gibbous · mid

Window.

Outgoing water — Moving water in the right part of the day.

— Tide is low slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).

— Mostly clear. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.

Tarpon should be the day — the same harbor throats as they dump.

Midsummer. Night and first-light tarpon. Mahi if the weed is in. Do not invent a bonefish morning in Condado.

Water.

9 mph E · 10% rain · 86°F water

Tide.

outgoing · +0.5 ft vs the table

Moon.

Waxing gibbous · mid

Window.

Outgoing water — Moving water in the right part of the day.

— Tide is outgoing from NOAA.

— The gauge is +0.49 ft off the predicted table — read the water, not just the printout.

Giant trevally are the hunt — wait for the next inch — this atoll empties. Work the leeward shore — fly gets harder.

SE monsoon. Offshore and reef more than the skinny sand. Tuna if you came for that.

Water.

23 mph SE · 0% rain

Tide.

low slack

Moon.

Waxing gibbous · mid

Window.

Outgoing water — Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

— Tide is low slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).

— Overcast. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.