On This Water

The Saturday Letter · Vol. 1 · No. 33

Week of the water

August 10 – August 16, 2026 · August fundamentals · Bahamas · 1 of 1 desk · frozen Saturday issue

Permalink: /newsletter/2026-08-15

This week on your coast

Summer pattern holds. Smaller packs, honest shots, west-side permit if it lays down. Fly in the morning. Shade at noon.

This edition is Bahamas only — Bahamas. Coasts you did not elect stay off this letter. Scores are 1–10. They are not bite guarantees. Read this month’s seasonal fundamentals.

Bahamas

That Saturday

Bahamas desk

Andros

Bonefish country

7.6OF 10

Today

medium

Permit should be the day — the creek mouths and the bights; tarpon live in the darker water.

Summer pattern holds. Smaller packs, honest shots, west-side permit if it lays down. Fly in the morning. Shade at noon.

Water.
1 mph NNE · 8% rain
Tide.
outgoing
Moon.
Waxing gibbous · mid
Window.
Outgoing water — Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
6.6Tarpon6.6Permit

Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).

Clear · 8%. Sky is workable.

Open the Andros brief

Box score · August

In peak this month

  • Hogfish

    Bahamas

    Keys and Caribbean patch reefs. Not a Texas bay fish. Not a bonefish headline. He lives on the hard bottom, not the grass.

  • Yellowtail snapper

    Bahamas

    Islamorada to Key West, then the Bahamas and the Spanish Virgins. Patch reefs and the first drop. Absent from Texas bays.

  • Mangrove / gray snapper

    Bahamas

    The snapper that will live in a Texas jetty and a Keys creek. Schoolies on structure. Bigger fish on the wrecks. Not a yellowtail.

Noise, not the headline: Jack crevalle, Great barracuda.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.