On This Water

Stay or drive

Two desks, one day

this morning. Same method. Same 1–10. Pick the water, not the drive you already decided.

Left desk

louisiana · Venice

Venice / Birdfoot

7.1OF 10

Today

medium

Redfish should be the day — flood the west-bank ponds, then the south passes if the bulls are in.

0 mph SSE · 10% rain · incoming

-0.18 ft

Observed minus predicted. On this coast the wind often is the tide.

Where

  • South Pass · 8.4pass jetty on a incoming tide is a classic match.
  • Venice west-bank marsh · 7.4marsh drain on a incoming tide is a workable match.
Open the Venice brief

Right desk

florida · Islamorada

Islamorada / Matecumbe

4.1OF 10

Today

high

Hogfish are the hunt — run or rest — slack on this water is not a hunt. Heat is the clock — first light or last light.

4 mph SE · thunderstorms · high slack

+0.31 ft

Observed minus predicted. Read the water, not just the printout.

Where

  • Channel 2 / Channel 5 · 4.3channel gut on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
  • Channel Five · 4.3channel gut on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
  • Indian Key Channel · 4.3channel gut on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
Open the Islamorada brief