On This Water

Stay or drive

Two desks, one day

this morning. Same method. Same 1–10. Pick the water, not the drive you already decided.

Left desk

florida · Marathon

Middle Keys / Marathon

4.5OF 10

Today

high

Permit are the hunt — Seven Mile current and the oceanside patches — permit and tarpon, not a bonefish morning. Heat is the clock — first light or last light.

4 mph E · thunderstorms · incoming

+0.28 ft

Observed minus predicted. Read the water, not just the printout.

Where

  • Vaca oceanside wrecks / patches · 6.2wreck edge on a incoming tide is a classic match.
  • Seven Mile Bridge current · 5.9channel gut on a incoming tide is a workable match.
  • FL - Long Key State Park (Keys) · 5.6sand dropoff on a incoming tide is a workable match.
Open the Marathon brief

Right desk

louisiana · Venice

Venice / Birdfoot

7.9OF 10

Today

medium

Redfish should be the day — flood the west-bank ponds, then the south passes if the bulls are in.

2 mph SSE · 4% rain · incoming

-0.35 ft

Observed minus predicted. On this coast the wind often is the tide.

Where

  • South Pass · 8.4pass jetty on a incoming tide is a classic match.
  • Southwest Pass · 7.8pass jetty on a incoming tide is a classic match.
  • Venice west-bank marsh · 7.4marsh drain on a incoming tide is a workable match.
Open the Venice brief