On This Water

Stay or drive

Two desks, one day

this morning. Same method. Same 1–10. Pick the water, not the drive you already decided.

Left desk

mexico · Ascension

Ascension Bay / Sian Ka'an

6.8OF 10

Today

medium

Permit should be the day — Boca Paila and the drains; tarpon live in the darker mouths.

2 mph NNW · 33% rain · outgoing

Where

  • Boca Paila · 7.8sand dropoff on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
  • Punta Allen / Ascension flats · 6.7hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
Open the Ascension brief

Right desk

florida · Flamingo

Florida Bay / Flamingo

4.2OF 10

Today

high

Redfish are the hunt — flood Snake Bight and the Flamingo banks — backcountry reds and snook, not oceanside bones. Heat is the clock — first light or last light.

3 mph ESE · thunderstorms · incoming

+0.30 ft

Observed minus predicted. Read the water, not just the printout.

Where

  • Snake Bight · 5.2grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
  • Flamingo basins / Buttonwood · 5.2mangrove edge on a incoming tide is a workable match.
  • FL - Florida Bay (Flamingo) · 5.2mangrove edge on a incoming tide is a workable match.
Open the Flamingo brief