On This Water

Stay or drive

Two desks, one day

this morning. Same method. Same 1–10. Pick the water, not the drive you already decided.

Left desk

mexico · Ascension

Ascension Bay / Sian Ka'an

6.8OF 10

Today

medium

Permit should be the day — Boca Paila and the drains; tarpon live in the darker mouths.

3 mph N · 41% rain · outgoing

Where

  • Boca Paila · 7.8sand dropoff on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
  • Punta Allen / Ascension flats · 6.7hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
Open the Ascension brief

Right desk

florida · Key West

Lower Keys / Key West

4.4OF 10

Today

high

Permit are the hunt — Marquesas and Harbor Key on a clean incoming — permit country. Heat is the clock — first light or last light.

5 mph ESE · thunderstorms · incoming

+0.24 ft

Observed minus predicted. Read the water, not just the printout.

Where

  • Marquesas · 5.7hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
  • Harbor Keys / Content Keys · 5.7hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
  • Harbor Key Bank · 5.7hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
Open the Key West brief