On This Water

Stay or drive

Two desks, one day

this morning. Same method. Same 1–10. Pick the water, not the drive you already decided.

Left desk

mexico · Ascension

Ascension Bay / Sian Ka'an

8.0OF 10

Today

medium

Permit should be the day — Boca Paila and the drains; tarpon live in the darker mouths.

Wind not in · outgoing

Where

  • Boca Paila · 8.1sand dropoff on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
  • Punta Allen / Ascension flats · 7.7hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
Open the Ascension brief

Right desk

florida · Marathon

Middle Keys / Marathon

4.1OF 10

Today

high

Hogfish are the hunt — wait for the next push under the bridges. Heat is the clock — first light or last light.

4 mph SE · thunderstorms · high slack

+0.31 ft

Observed minus predicted. Read the water, not just the printout.

Where

  • Seven Mile Bridge current · 4.3channel gut on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
  • Vaca oceanside wrecks / patches · 4.3wreck edge on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
  • Marathon bayside basins · 4.1grass flat on a high slack tide is a workable match.
Open the Marathon brief