On This Water

Stay or drive

Two desks, one day

this morning. Same method. Same 1–10. Pick the water, not the drive you already decided.

Left desk

mexico · Ascension

Ascension Bay / Sian Ka'an

6.9OF 10

Today

medium

Permit should be the day — Boca Paila and the drains; tarpon live in the darker mouths.

3 mph N · 41% rain · outgoing

Where

  • Boca Paila · 7.8sand dropoff on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
  • Punta Allen / Ascension flats · 6.7hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
Open the Ascension brief

Right desk

florida · Islamorada

Islamorada / Matecumbe

4.1OF 10

Today

high

Hogfish are the hunt — run or rest — slack on this water is not a hunt. Heat is the clock — first light or last light.

4 mph SE · thunderstorms · high slack

+0.31 ft

Observed minus predicted. Read the water, not just the printout.

Where

  • Channel 2 / Channel 5 · 4.3channel gut on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
  • Channel Five · 4.3channel gut on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
  • Indian Key Channel · 4.3channel gut on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
Open the Islamorada brief