On This Water

Louisiana · Venice / Birdfoot

Redfish should be the day — the birdfoot drains and the pass edges — wind and river stage are the tide.

The Mississippi birdfoot. Passes, ponds, and river-marsh. Bull reds in the passes, school reds and trout in the ponds. Tarpon in mid-summer on the beach and the south passes. NOAA 8760721 Pilottown is the clock. Wind and river stage move more water than the printed tide.

  • This brief is for 2026-10-11, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
9.1OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Sunday, October 11. Back to this morning

Morning line

Venice 9.1 on Sunday, October 11. 4 mph NW. Clear. YOLO day is Wednesday, August 26. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-0.6-0.3-0.00.30.5HLHLHLHLSun 7 AMMon 7 AMTue 7 AMWed 7 AM
outgoing · -0.18 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW4MPH

From NW · gust 6

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clear

Clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

0% lit

New

spring range · 0%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 0.5 ft

outgoing

-0.18 ft modeled

River

USGS 07374525

264,000 cfs

Mississippi River at Belle Chasse, LA

Discharge into this bay. High water stains the flat.

Wind vs table

No live gauge

No live gauge this hour — the printed tide is the forecast.

Clock

NOAA 8760721

  • HighSun 3:00 AM · 0.26
  • LowSun 10:00 AM · -0.26
  • HighSun 4:00 PM · 0.26
  • LowSun 10:00 PM · -0.26
  • HighMon 5:00 AM · 0.26

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Wednesday, August 26 · 8.3

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waxing gibbous · spring · tide range ~0.7 ft · wind to 5 mph · Thunderstorms · 44%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • South Pass

    pass jetty · public structure · deep

    9.0

    Named river mouth. Bulls and summer tarpon. River stage and wind decide more than the table.

    • pass jetty on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Tarpon, Speckled trout.
    skiffspinfly
  • Southwest Pass

    pass jetty · public structure · deep

    8.4

    The other throat of the birdfoot. Current, ships, and the Gulf. Not a pond.

    • pass jetty on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Tarpon.
    skiffspin
  • Venice west-bank marsh

    marsh drain · public structure · mid

    8.4

    Delta ponds inside the passes. School reds and trout. Your Gulf Atlas pin lives here.

    • marsh drain on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout.
    skiffkayakflyspin

When

  • Outgoing water

    10.0

    Sun 8:00 AMSun 11:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Sun 11:00 AMSun 6:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Sun 5:00 PMMon 12:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    8.7

    Mon 12:00 AMMon 6:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    10.0

    Mon 6:00 AMMon 1:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Launch and beach access

Cited to LDWF ramp lists and Louisiana State Parks. Parish rules shift after a blow.

  • Venice public launches

    Plaquemines Parish / LDWF ramp directory

    Birdfoot door. South and Southwest Pass are the run. Confirm which ramps are open after a blow.

    Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — the NOAA gauge did not answer).
  • Clear. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 4 mph NW. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • New moon — spring tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Redfish

Sciaenops ocellatus

8.4

Thermal window

48°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Louisiana: 4/day, 18–27 in slot. None over 27. No harvest in federal waters. Charter captain/crew bag is zero. Verify LDWF.

Speckled trout

Cynoscion nebulosus

8.4

Thermal window

44°90°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Louisiana: 15/day, 13–20 in slot, no more than two over 20. Charter captain/crew bag is zero. Verify LDWF.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

6.6

Thermal window

68°94°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Louisiana: treat as catch-and-release.

Black drum

Pogonias cromis

4.8

Thermal window

46°88°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Louisiana: check LDWF coastal finfish before you keep a drum.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Regs citedLDWF recreational saltwater · current LDWF coastal finfish · rolls in 8 days. Louisiana flounder is typically closed Oct 15–Nov 30. Verify LDWF the week you keep one.