Texas · Sabine Lake

Redfish are the hunt — wait for the next dump off the marsh.

Brackish border estuary. Sabine and Neches river water, pass current at Texas Point, marsh drains after a blow.

⚠ This brief is for 2027-07-28, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.

Tide · NOAA 8770822
NDBC 42035 quiet
No salinity probe on this desk
Sabine River gauge quiet
Red-tide check failed — not all-clear
Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
Glass · modeled
Water temp quiet

Forecast

medium confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, July 28. Back to this morning

Morning line

Sabine 6.8 on Wednesday, July 28. 3 mph NNW. Mostly clear. YOLO day is Wednesday, August 26. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it

low slack · 1.70 ft · drag or hover for the clockNOAA tide gauge 8770822 · Texas Point, Sabine Pass · ft MLLW · not a weather buoy

Wind

OPEN-METEO

From NNW · gust 4

Buoy

NDBC 42035

Quiet

Galveston did not report. Witness only — not the tide clock.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Mostly clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Glass

Open-Meteo modeled

30.01 inHg

1016 mb · no 3-hour change yet

Modeled mean sea level. Not a dock barometer. The glass is not a bite.

Moon

27% lit

Waning crescent

mid range · 27%

Water

No gauge

Water

—

Today’s range 2.3 ft

low slack

1.70 ft MLLW

Coast

No live coast layer

Red-tide check failed. That is not all-clear — open the agency page before you wade.

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Salinity / color
No USGS 00480 well on this desk. Do not borrow another bay’s river.

River

USGS 08030500

Quiet

Sabine River did not answer. Not a color reading.

Wind vs table

Observed − predicted

—

No live gauge this hour — the printed tide is the forecast.

Clock

NOAA 8770822

LowWed 5:44 PM · -0.27
HighThu 2:11 AM · 2.01
LowThu 6:37 PM · -0.47
HighFri 3:04 AM · 2.12
LowFri 7:50 AM · 1.80

Monthly YOLO day

Wednesday, August 26

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · spring · tide range ~1.8 ft · wind to 10 mph · 10% chance of rain

9.7

Stay or drive · Sabine vs Galveston Open the calendar Morning dispatch

Next two weeks

Look at the water, not the table

Full calendar

Wed

Δ1.1ft

YOLO

Thu

Δ0.9ft

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

Texas Point / Sabine Pass
pass jetty · public structure · deep
6.5
NOAA 8770822 sits here. Current, granite, shrimp. Fall flounder water before the closure.
- — pass jetty on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout.
structurespinfly
Sabine Bank
pass jetty · saved map · skinny
5.9
Shallow natural bank off Sabine Pass. APPROX - chart it. · 5 - NEARSHORE STRUCTURE (orange) - GET EXACT COORDS FROM TPWD · Texas coast — corridors, jetties, flats
- — pass jetty on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout.
skiffkayakwadeflyspin
Keith Lake Cut
marsh drain · public structure · mid
5.8
Drain after a north wind. Redfish and trout stage where the marsh empties.
- — marsh drain on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout.
skiffkayakspinfly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

Last light · outgoing
9.4
Wed 10:00 AM → Wed 8:00 PM
Last light on outgoing water.
Last light · incoming
9.4
Wed 7:00 PM → Thu 4:00 AM
Last light on incoming water.
First light · outgoing
9.4
Thu 4:00 AM → Thu 8:00 PM
First light on outgoing water.
Last light · incoming
9.4
Thu 8:00 PM → Fri 5:00 AM
Last light on incoming water.
First light · outgoing
9.4
Fri 4:00 AM → Fri 9:00 PM
First light on outgoing water.

Long record · Sabine Lake · gill nets

93,404 fish in 1,530 overnight sets

Nets are out until September. Showing the fall record. 1986–2019. Random shoreline grids in this bay system — not a mark on your map. Border estuary. Sampling here started later than the mid-coast.

In the nets	Per set	Counted	Sets
Redfish	11.2	17,169	97%
Black drum	10.4	15,853	92%
Speckled trout	3.0	4,536	70%
Southern flounder	0.8	1,211	40%
Sheepshead	0.2	320	13%

Late file (2015–2019): Redfish 10.3/set · Black drum 6.3/set · Speckled trout 2.0/set. Same gear, last years in the public compilation.

TPWD still sets spring (Apr–Jun) and fall (Sep–Nov). This public file ends in 2019. It does not update with the tide.

BCO-DMO 1982–2019 Ask TPWD for years after 2019

Long record · Sabine Lake · dock counts

28,427 fish on 7,991 interviews

High-use dock (May 15–Nov 20) 1991–2023. Public ramps and wet slips in this bay system — the bay they launched from, not a honey hole. Border estuary. Sampling here started later than the mid-coast.

Across the dock	Per trip	Counted	With fish
Speckled trout	4.1	18,327	57%
Red snappergulf	8.9	8,160	78%
Redfish	0.7	1,940	29%

Late file (2019–2023): Speckled trout 4.0/trip · Red snapper 9.5/trip · Redfish 0.7/trip. Same ramps, last years in the public extract.

TPWD still interviews year-round, 10:00–18:00, about 1,000 survey-days and 14,000 interviews a year. This public extract is targeting trips, 1991–2023. It does not update with the tide.

PLOS One 1991–2023 How the creel works Ask TPWD for expanded landings

Launch and beach access

Cited to TPWD, Texas GLO beach-access plans, and NPS. 2WD/4WD is the county plan, not a guess.

Sabine Pass Battleground State Historic Site
TPWD / THC historic site — public ramp
Texas Point / Sabine Pass. Ramp and jetty water. NOAA 8770822 is the clock.
Official source
Walter Umphrey State Park / Pleasure Island
TPWD-listed launch · Port Arthur
Sabine Lake side. Marsh drains and lake edges from here.
Official source
Cameron / Calcasieu Point
Cameron Parish / LDWF
SW Louisiana beach. Parish rules shift. Calcasieu Pass is the next throat east.
Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

— Tide is low slack from NOAA 8770822 Texas Point, Sabine Pass.
— Mostly clear. Sky is workable.
— Wind 3 mph NNW. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
— Waning crescent moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.
— No USGS 00480 well on this desk. Do not read another bay’s river as this water.

Redfish

Sciaenops ocellatus

5.5

Thermal window

—

Present, not peak.

Texas (Sep 1 2025–Aug 31 2026): 3/day, 20–28 in slot. One over 28 in per license year with a Red Drum Tag.

Speckled trout

Cynoscion nebulosus

5.5

Thermal window

—

Present, not peak.

Texas: 3/day, 15–20 in slot. One over 28 in per license year with a Spotted Seatrout Tag (plus bonus). Soft mouth + slot = measure every fish.

Southern flounder

Paralichthys lethostigma

3.7

Thermal window

—

Off-season here.

Texas: 5/day, 15 in minimum (verify Outdoor Annual). Closed Nov 1–Dec 14.

Black drum

Pogonias cromis

3.7

Thermal window

—

Off-season here.

Texas: 5/day, 14–30 in. One over 52 in allowed as part of the bag.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

—

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Regs citedTPWD Outdoor Annual · Sep 1, 2025–Aug 31, 2026 · rolls in 6 days. Texas bag and season roll every September 1. The stamp is the book we cited, not a license.