Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Florida: catch-and-release only, hook-and-line only.
Florida · Middle Keys / Marathon
Bonefish should be the day — Seven Mile current and the oceanside patches — permit and tarpon, not a bonefish morning.
Vaca Key gauge. Oceanside wrecks and patch reefs, bayside basins, Seven Mile Bridge current. Permit and tarpon more than bones.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2026-11-16, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
- ⚠ FKNMS no-take water in this box: Sombrero Key, Coffins Patch. The red polygons are the legal source — do not fish them.
Forecast
low confidence
Forecast brief for Monday, November 16. Back to this morning
Morning line
Marathon 8.4 on Monday, November 16. 6 mph SE. Overcast. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
incoming · 0.73 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge
Wind
OPEN-METEO
From SE · gust 6
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Clouds
Overcast
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Moon
42% lit
First quarter
neap range · 42%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 1.9 ft
incoming
0.73 ft modeled
Clock
NOAA 8723970
- LowMon 3:00 AM · -0.92
- HighMon 9:00 AM · 0.92
- LowMon 3:00 PM · -0.91
- HighMon 10:00 PM · 0.93
- LowTue 4:00 AM · -0.94
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Tuesday, August 25 · 8.3
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.4 ft · wind to 10 mph · Thunderstorms · 49%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
- 8.0
FL - Long Key State Park (Keys)
sand dropoff · saved map · mid
Oceanfront camping with bonefish flats at the tent. Reserve far ahead. · camp-surf · GULF ATLAS! - FISH
- — sand dropoff on a incoming tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Bonefish, Hogfish, Yellowtail snapper.
structurespinwade - 6.3
Vaca oceanside wrecks / patches
wreck edge · field manual · deep
Crab on the wreck is a different permit game than the tailer on the flat.
- — wreck edge on a incoming tide is a classic match.
skiffspinfly - 6.1
Marathon bayside basins
grass flat · public structure · mid
Vaca Key gauge. Backcountry light. Summer showers, then wait for the color to come back.
- — grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
skiffkayakflyspin - 5.9
Seven Mile Bridge current
channel gut · public structure · deep
Current seams. Permit and tarpon. Not a bonefish walk.
- — channel gut on a incoming tide is a workable match.
skiffstructurespinfly
When
Incoming water
9.9Mon 8:00 AM → Mon 11:00 AM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
9.9Mon 10:00 AM → Mon 5:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Incoming water
9.6Mon 5:00 PM → Mon 11:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
8.6Mon 11:00 PM → Tue 6:00 AM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Incoming water
9.9Tue 5:00 AM → Tue 12:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Launch and beach access
County and state ramps near this water. FKNMS no-take is Keys-only, on the legal list.
Bahia Honda State Park
Florida State Parks
Middle Keys bridge and oceanside. Adjacent FKNMS polygons are no-take — check the red rings.
Official source
Why — and who
- — Tide is incoming (modeled — the NOAA gauge did not answer).
- — Overcast. Sky is workable.
- — Wind 6 mph SE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
- — First quarter moon — neap tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.
8.4
Hogfish
Lachnolaimus maximus
Thermal window
—
Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Florida: Atlantic and Gulf bags differ. Monroe County is tighter. Fork-length minimum. Verify FWC.
Yellowtail snapper
Ocyurus chrysurus
Thermal window
—
Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Florida: typically 12 in total length, inside the snapper aggregate. Verify FWC.
Tarpon
Megalops atlanticus
Thermal window
—
Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Florida: catch-and-release. Fish over 40 in must stay in the water. One harvest tag/year only for a potential IGFA record.
Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Florida: hook-and-line. Special Permit Zone (Keys) is tighter than the rest of the state — typically C&R. Verify FWC.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Generally unregulated. Ciguatera risk rises with size. Do not keep a big one for the table.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.
Regs citedFWC saltwater recreational · current FWC regional rules · rolls in 7 days. Snook closures are regional. Boca Grande is not Jupiter. Verify FWC before you keep one.