On This Water

Texas · Lower Laguna Madre

Redfish should be the day — sight-cast reds in inches on South Bay and the spoils.

The clear-water classroom. South Bay, spoil banks, Brazos Santiago. Sight-casting reds in inches. Often the warmest Texas winter water.

  • This brief is for 2027-03-04, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Tide · NOAA 8779770
  • NDBC PTIT2 quiet
  • No salinity probe on this desk
  • No river gauge on this desk
  • Red-tide check failed — not all-clear
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
  • Water temp quiet
9.0OF 10

Forecast

medium confidence

Forecast brief for Thursday, March 4. Back to this morning

Morning line

LLM 9.0 on Thursday, March 4. 17 mph SE. Clear. YOLO day is Sunday, August 30. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-0.40.10.51.01.4LHLHLHLHWed 6 PMThu 6 PMFri 6 PMSat 6 PMSun 6 PM
incoming · -0.10 ft · drag or hover for the clockNOAA tide gauge 8779770 · Port Isabel · ft MLLW · not a weather buoy

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW17MPH

From SE · gust 24

Buoy

NDBC PTIT2

Quiet

Port Isabel did not report. Witness only — not the tide clock.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clear

Clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

13% lit

Waning crescent

mid range · 13%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.4 ft

incoming

-0.10 ft MLLW

Coast

No live coast layer

Red-tide check failed. That is not all-clear — open the agency page before you wade.

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Salinity / color
No USGS 00480 well on this desk. Do not borrow another bay’s river.

River

No gauge

No gauge

No USGS discharge gauge on this desk. Wind and the table still tell the color story.

Wind vs table

Observed − predicted

No live gauge this hour — the printed tide is the forecast.

Clock

NOAA 8779770

  • LowThu 6:55 AM · -0.14
  • HighThu 4:37 PM · 1.15
  • LowFri 7:44 AM · -0.09
  • HighFri 4:32 PM · 1.06
  • LowFri 9:16 PM · 0.93

Monthly YOLO day

Sunday, August 30

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · mid · tide range ~0.8 ft · wind to 19 mph · 8% chance of rain

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • South Bay

    grass flat · field manual · skinny

    9.0

    USGS GNIS 1376184 (Cameron). Clear-water classroom. Inches of grass. Sight-casting reds. Deep-south snook on warm years.

    USGS GNIS 1376184

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Snook.
    skiffwadekayakflyspin
  • TX - Fred Stone County Park (Port Mansfield)

    grass flat · saved map · mid

    9.0

    Camping + kayak launch at the LLM mecca. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Snook, Mangrove / gray snapper.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin
  • TX - Adolph Thomae Jr. Park (Arroyo City)

    grass flat · saved map · mid

    9.0

    Camp + ramp to LLM west side. Snook begin. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Snook, Mangrove / gray snapper.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin
  • TX - Isla Blanca Park (South Padre)

    grass flat · saved map · mid

    9.0

    Camp at island tip; launch to South Bay + Mexiquita. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Snook, Mangrove / gray snapper.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin
  • LLM mecca. Fred Stone County Park = camping + kayak launch o

    grass flat · saved map · mid

    9.0

    LLM mecca. Fred Stone County Park = camping + kayak launch on the edge of the most famous flats water in Texas. · 4 - FLATS ZONES - NO WADE REQUIRED (green) · Texas coast — corridors, jetties, flats

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Snook, Mangrove / gray snapper.
    structurespinwade
  • LLM west side - Green Island / Rattlesnake

    grass flat · saved map · mid

    9.0

    Arroyo Colorado feeds this. Adolph Thomae Jr. Park = camp + ramp. Snook start appearing this far south. · 4 - FLATS ZONES - NO WADE REQUIRED (green) · Texas coast — corridors, jetties, flats

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Snook, Mangrove / gray snapper.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    9.5

    Thu 8:00 AMThu 6:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Last light · outgoing

    9.5

    Thu 7:00 PMFri 9:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • Incoming water

    9.5

    Fri 9:00 AMFri 6:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Last light · outgoing

    9.5

    Fri 7:00 PMSat 10:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • Incoming water

    9.5

    Sat 10:00 AMSat 6:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Launch and beach access

Cited to TPWD, Texas GLO beach-access plans, and NPS. 2WD/4WD is the county plan, not a guess.

  • Isla Blanca Park

    Cameron County / GLO beach access

    South end of SPI. Ramps, jetties, Brazos Santiago. County beach plan governs 2WD/4WD.

    Official source
  • Andy Bowie Park

    Cameron County / GLO beach access

    North SPI. County beach plan. 2WD/4WD posted at the entrance.

    Official source
  • Adolph Thomae Jr. County Park

    Cameron County / TPWD-listed launch

    Arroyo Colorado into the Lower Laguna. Ramp and park. The LLM classroom starts here.

    Official source
  • Port Mansfield public ramps

    Willacy County / TPWD-listed launch

    Basin and cut. NOAA 8778490. Laguna skinny a mile inside.

    Official source
  • Boca Chica / Beach Access 6

    Cameron County beach-access plan / Texas GLO

    South of SPI. County plan is the 2WD/4WD law here. Closures shift with SpaceX and storms — confirm before you drop a tire.

    Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming from NOAA 8779770 Port Isabel.
  • Clear. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 17 mph SE. Work the leeward shore. Fly gets harder.
  • Waning crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
  • No USGS 00480 well on this desk. Do not read another bay’s river as this water.
  • No USGS discharge gauge on this desk. Wind and the tide table still tell the color story.

Redfish

Sciaenops ocellatus

8.4

Thermal window

48°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas (Sep 1 2025–Aug 31 2026): 3/day, 20–28 in slot. One over 28 in per license year with a Red Drum Tag.

Speckled trout

Cynoscion nebulosus

8.4

Thermal window

44°90°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas: 3/day, 15–20 in slot. One over 28 in per license year with a Spotted Seatrout Tag (plus bonus). Soft mouth + slot = measure every fish.

Snook

Centropomus undecimalis

6.6

Thermal window

56°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas: 1/day, 24–28 in. Rare this far west — verify before you keep one.

Mangrove / gray snapper

Lutjanus griseus

6.6

Thermal window

64°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas: typically 12 in, 4/day under snapper rules — verify TPWD.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Regs citedTPWD Outdoor Annual · Sep 1, 2025–Aug 31, 2026 · rolls in 7 days. Texas bag and season roll every September 1. The stamp is the book we cited, not a license.