On This Water

Mexico · La Paz / Espíritu Santo

Roosterfish should be the day — the same island edges as they fall.

Sea of Cortez. Espíritu Santo, El Bajo when the season is on, rooster along the rocky beaches. A town to sleep in. Tide is modeled. CONAPESCA license required.

  • This brief is for 2026-07-17, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Mexico requires a CONAPESCA license. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water — verify before you fish.
7.8OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Friday, July 17. Back to this morning

Morning line

La Paz 7.8 on Friday, July 17. 10 mph NNW. Overcast. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.2-1.10.01.12.2HLHLHLHLFri 5 AMSat 5 AMSun 5 AMMon 5 AM
outgoing · -0.61 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW10MPH

From NNW · gust 11

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Overcast

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

9% lit

Waxing crescent

mid range · 9%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.4 ft

outgoing

-0.61 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighFri 4:00 AM · 1.02
  • LowFri 10:00 AM · -1.08
  • HighFri 4:00 PM · 1.12
  • LowFri 10:00 PM · -1.16
  • HighSat 5:00 AM · 1.20

Mexico tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing. There is no NOAA gauge here.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Espíritu Santo

    sand dropoff · public structure · mid

    7.1

    Named island north of La Paz. Parque Nacional. Rooster and a Cortez dorado. Park rules.

    • sand dropoff on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Roosterfish.
    skiffspinfly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    9.0

    Fri 8:00 AMFri 12:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.0

    Fri 11:00 AMFri 6:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.9

    Fri 5:00 PMSat 12:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.9

    Fri 11:00 PMSat 6:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.9

    Sat 6:00 AMSat 1:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Launch and beach access

Lodge towns and cited marinas. CONAPESCA license. Biosphere and park water is not a freelance wade.

  • La Paz marinas / malecón

    CONAPESCA / BCS

    Town water. Espíritu Santo is the run north. Park rules on the island.

    Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Overcast. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 10 mph NNW. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Roosterfish

Nematistius pectoralis

8.4

Thermal window

68°92°

Pacific / Sea of Cortez. Baja, not the Gulf. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Mexico: verify CONAPESCA. East Cape and La Paz programs are typically catch-and-release.

Mahi-mahi

Coryphaena hippurus

3.5

Thermal window

66°92°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Florida: typically 10/person, 60/vessel, 20 in fork. Texas: 3/day in federal waters under HMS/coastal rules — verify NOAA HMS and TPWD. Mexico: verify CONAPESCA. Bahamas: check current bag.

Tuna (blackfin / yellowfin)

Thunnus atlanticus / Thunnus albacares

3.5

Thermal window

66°92°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Federal HMS rules. Yellowfin typically 27 in curved fork. Blackfin often more liberal — verify NOAA HMS and FWC/TPWD the morning you leave the inlet.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Incidental. Not why you booked Ascension or East Cape.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Incidental. Ciguatera is a real reason not to keep a big one.

Regs citedCONAPESCA recreational license · current CONAPESCA rules · rolls in 7 days. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water. Roosterfish is Baja, not the Gulf.