On This Water

Mexico · Isla Mujeres / Cancún bank

Sailfish are in the mix — the same edge as it dumps; troll along it, never across.

Winter sailfish capital. The fleet works the Yucatan current north of Cancún. Mahi on the weed in summer. This is a troll-and-kite desk, not a bonefish brief. Modeled tide, Open-Meteo wind.

  • This brief is for 2027-06-19, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Rain is likely. A marsh still fishes. A soaker and lightning do not.
  • Mexico requires a CONAPESCA license. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water — verify before you fish.
  • Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
  • No NDBC on this desk
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
4.1OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Saturday, June 19. Back to this morning

Morning line

Mujeres 4.1 on Saturday, June 19. 10 mph ENE. Drizzle. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-0.9-0.4-0.00.40.8HLHLHLHLSat 7 AMSun 7 AMMon 7 AMTue 7 AM
outgoing · -0.25 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW10MPH

From ENE · gust 13

Buoy

No station

None

No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Rain

Drizzle

Sight water goes blind. A marsh still fishes a shower.

Moon

100% lit

Full

spring range · 100%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 0.8 ft

outgoing

-0.25 ft modeled

Coast

No live coast layer

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighSat 4:00 AM · 0.41
  • LowSat 10:00 AM · -0.42
  • HighSat 4:00 PM · 0.41
  • LowSat 11:00 PM · -0.41
  • HighSun 5:00 AM · 0.42

Mexico tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing. There is no NOAA gauge here.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

No marks match this method on this water.

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    9.5

    Sat 8:00 AMSat 12:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.2

    Sat 11:00 AMSat 6:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Last light · outgoing

    9.2

    Sat 6:00 PMSun 12:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • First light · incoming

    8.1

    Sun 12:00 AMSun 7:00 AM

    First light on incoming water.

  • First light · outgoing

    9.5

    Sun 6:00 AMSun 1:00 PM

    First light on outgoing water.

Launch and beach access

Lodge towns and cited marinas. CONAPESCA license. Biosphere and park water is not a freelance wade.

  • Isla Mujeres marinas

    CONAPESCA / Quintana Roo

    The sailfish fleet door. Not a flats ramp.

    Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Drizzle. Marsh still fishes in a shower. A soaker is a different day.
  • Wind 10 mph ENE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Full moon — spring tide range. Offshore wants bait and current more than a skinny tide.

Mahi-mahi

Coryphaena hippurus

3.5

Thermal window

66°92°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Florida: typically 10/person, 60/vessel, 20 in fork. Texas: 3/day in federal waters under HMS/coastal rules — verify NOAA HMS and TPWD. Mexico: verify CONAPESCA. Bahamas: check current bag.

Tuna (blackfin / yellowfin)

Thunnus atlanticus / Thunnus albacares

3.5

Thermal window

66°92°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Federal HMS rules. Yellowfin typically 27 in curved fork. Blackfin often more liberal — verify NOAA HMS and FWC/TPWD the morning you leave the inlet.

Sailfish

Istiophorus platypterus

2.0

Thermal window

66°90°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Florida: catch-and-release for Atlantic sail except a rare harvest tag. Federal HMS permit in federal waters. Texas/Bahamas: treat as C&R.

Wahoo

Acanthocybium solandri

2.0

Thermal window

66°88°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Mexico: verify CONAPESCA.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Incidental. Not why you booked Ascension or East Cape.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Incidental. Ciguatera is a real reason not to keep a big one.

Regs citedCONAPESCA recreational license · current CONAPESCA rules · rolls in 7 days. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water. Roosterfish is Baja, not the Gulf.