On This Water

Mexico · Isla Mujeres / Cancún bank

Sailfish are in the mix — the Cancún / Mujeres bank — sail on the current, not a bonefish morning.

Winter sailfish capital. The fleet works the Yucatan current north of Cancún. Mahi on the weed in summer. This is a troll-and-kite desk, not a bonefish brief. Modeled tide, Open-Meteo wind.

  • This brief is for 2027-02-13. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
  • Mexico requires a CONAPESCA license. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water — verify before you fish.
5.5OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Saturday, February 13. Back to this morning

Morning line

Mujeres 5.5 on Saturday, February 13 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.2-0.60.00.61.2LHLHLHLHSat 7 AMSun 7 AMMon 7 AMTue 7 AM
incoming · 0.56 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

46% lit

First quarter

neap range · 46%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.8 ft

incoming

0.56 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowSat 4:00 AM · -0.86
  • HighSat 10:00 AM · 0.88
  • LowSat 4:00 PM · -0.89
  • HighSat 10:00 PM · 0.90
  • LowSun 4:00 AM · -0.89

Mexico tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing. There is no NOAA gauge here.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

No marks match this method on this water.

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Sat 8:00 AMSat 12:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Sat 11:00 AMSat 6:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.1

    Sat 5:00 PMSun 12:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.0

    Sat 11:00 PMSun 6:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Sun 5:00 AMSun 12:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Launch and beach access

Lodge towns and cited marinas. CONAPESCA license. Biosphere and park water is not a freelance wade.

  • Isla Mujeres marinas

    CONAPESCA / Quintana Roo

    The sailfish fleet door. Not a flats ramp.

    Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • First quarter moon — neap tide range. Offshore wants bait and current more than a skinny tide.

Sailfish

Istiophorus platypterus

3.5

Thermal window

66°90°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida: catch-and-release for Atlantic sail except a rare harvest tag. Federal HMS permit in federal waters. Texas/Bahamas: treat as C&R.

Wahoo

Acanthocybium solandri

3.5

Thermal window

66°88°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Mexico: verify CONAPESCA.

Mahi-mahi

Coryphaena hippurus

2.0

Thermal window

66°92°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida: typically 10/person, 60/vessel, 20 in fork. Texas: 3/day in federal waters under HMS/coastal rules — verify NOAA HMS and TPWD. Mexico: verify CONAPESCA. Bahamas: check current bag.

Tuna (blackfin / yellowfin)

Thunnus atlanticus / Thunnus albacares

2.0

Thermal window

66°92°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Federal HMS rules. Yellowfin typically 27 in curved fork. Blackfin often more liberal — verify NOAA HMS and FWC/TPWD the morning you leave the inlet.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Incidental. Ciguatera is a real reason not to keep a big one.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Incidental. Not why you booked Ascension or East Cape.

Regs citedCONAPESCA recreational license · current CONAPESCA rules · rolls in 7 days. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water. Roosterfish is Baja, not the Gulf.