On This Water

Bahamas · Grand Bahama

Bonefish should be the day — East or West End pancakes — one fish, on foot.

East and West End pancake flats. Big single bones on foot. A town to sleep in. The thinking wade.

  • This brief is for 2027-01-13. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
8.1OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, January 13. Back to this morning

Morning line

G. Bahama 8.1 on Wednesday, January 13 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.0-1.0-0.01.02.0LHLHLHLHWed 7 AMThu 7 AMFri 7 AMSat 7 AM
incoming · 1.19 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

31% lit

Waxing crescent

neap range · 31%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.8 ft

incoming

1.19 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowWed 3:00 AM · -1.34
  • HighWed 9:00 AM · 1.38
  • LowWed 3:00 PM · -1.40
  • HighWed 9:00 PM · 1.41
  • LowThu 4:00 AM · -1.41

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.7

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.2 ft · wind to 11 mph · Clouds · 9%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • West End pancakes

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    7.7

    Big singles on foot. No push pole between you and the fish. Oct–June.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    wadeskifffly
  • East End flats

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    7.7

    Long walks. Hotel-based, which keeps it honest.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    wadeskifffly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    8.5

    Wed 8:00 AMWed 11:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Wed 10:00 AMWed 5:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Wed 4:00 PMWed 11:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    7.4

    Wed 10:00 PMThu 5:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    8.5

    Thu 5:00 AMThu 12:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Waxing crescent moon — neap tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.