On This Water

Bahamas · Grand Bahama

Bonefish should be the day — East or West End pancakes — one fish, on foot.

East and West End pancake flats. Big single bones on foot. A town to sleep in. The thinking wade.

  • This brief is for 2026-05-10, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
7.1OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Sunday, May 10. Back to this morning

Morning line

G. Bahama 7.1 on Sunday, May 10. 8 mph SSE. Partly cloudy. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.0-1.00.01.02.0LHLHLHLHSun 8 AMMon 8 AMTue 8 AMWed 8 AM
incoming · -0.60 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW8MPH

From SSE · gust 9

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Partly cloudy

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

38% lit

Waning crescent

neap range · 38%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 3.0 ft

incoming

-0.60 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowSun 6:00 AM · -1.49
  • HighSun 12:00 PM · 1.49
  • LowSun 6:00 PM · -1.48
  • HighMon 12:00 AM · 1.46
  • LowMon 6:00 AM · -1.42

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • West End pancakes

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    6.7

    Big singles on foot. No push pole between you and the fish. Oct–June.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    wadeskifffly
  • East End flats

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    6.7

    Long walks. Hotel-based, which keeps it honest.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    wadeskifffly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Sun 8:00 AMSun 2:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Sun 1:00 PMSun 8:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Sun 7:00 PMMon 2:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Mon 1:00 AMMon 8:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Mon 7:00 AMMon 2:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Partly cloudy. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
  • Wind 8 mph SSE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waning crescent moon — neap tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.