On This Water

Bahamas · Grand Bahama

Bonefish should be the day — the same flat, thinner; pick the darker single.

East and West End pancake flats. Big single bones on foot. A town to sleep in. The thinking wade.

  • This brief is for 2026-05-03, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
6.9OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Sunday, May 3. Back to this morning

Morning line

G. Bahama 6.9 on Sunday, May 3. 8 mph SSE. Partly cloudy. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.7-0.80.00.91.8HLHLHLHLSun 8 AMMon 8 AMTue 8 AMWed 8 AM
outgoing · 0.59 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW8MPH

From SSE · gust 9

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Partly cloudy

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

97% lit

Waning gibbous

spring range · 97%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.7 ft

outgoing

0.59 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighSun 7:00 AM · 0.74
  • LowSun 1:00 PM · -0.78
  • HighSun 7:00 PM · 0.81
  • LowMon 1:00 AM · -0.83
  • HighMon 8:00 AM · 0.89

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.7

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.2 ft · wind to 10 mph · Clouds · 8%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • West End pancakes

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    6.1

    Big singles on foot. No push pole between you and the fish. Oct–June.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    wadeskifffly
  • East End flats

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    6.1

    Long walks. Hotel-based, which keeps it honest.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    wadeskifffly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Sun 8:00 AMSun 3:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Sun 2:00 PMSun 9:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    8.3

    Sun 8:00 PMMon 3:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Mon 3:00 AMMon 10:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Mon 9:00 AMMon 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Partly cloudy. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
  • Wind 8 mph SSE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waning gibbous moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.