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Texas · Galveston Bay

Redfish should be the day — fish the wind-blown shoreline — the table is not the tide here.

Largest Texas estuary. Trinity, East, West, and Christmas bays. Wind often moves more water than the tide table. Home water for drum, sheep, trout, and reds.

  • ⚠ This brief is for 2025-01-05, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Tide · NOAA 8771450
  • NDBC 42035 quiet
  • Salinity probe quiet or stale
  • Trinity River gauge quiet
  • Red-tide check failed — not all-clear
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
  • Glass · modeled
  • Water temp quiet
8.4OF 10

Forecast

medium confidence

Forecast brief for Sunday, January 5. Back to this morning

Morning line

Galveston 8.4 on Sunday, January 5. 15 mph SSW. Clear. YOLO day is Thursday, August 27. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.1-0.50.10.81.4HLHLHLHLSat 6 PMSun 6 PMMon 6 PMTue 6 PMWed 6 PM
outgoing · 0.54 ft · drag or hover for the clockNOAA tide gauge 8771450 · Galveston Pier 21 · ft MLLW · not a weather buoy

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW15MPH

From SSW · gust 20

Buoy

NDBC 42035

Quiet

Galveston did not report. Witness only — not the tide clock.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clear

Clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Glass

Open-Meteo modeled

29.94 inHg

1014 mb · no 3-hour change yet

Modeled mean sea level. Not a dock barometer. The glass is not a bite.

Moon

34% lit

Waxing crescent

neap range · 34%

Water

No gauge

Water

—

48°92°

Today’s range 1.2 ft

outgoing

0.54 ft MLLW

Coast

No live coast layer

Red-tide check failed. That is not all-clear — open the agency page before you wade.

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Salinity / color
Trinity River at Wallisville is quiet or stale. Not a color reading.

River

USGS 08066500

Quiet

Trinity River did not answer. Not a color reading.

Wind vs table

Observed − predicted

—

No live gauge this hour — the printed tide is the forecast.

Clock

NOAA 8771450

  • HighSun 6:50 AM · 0.58
  • LowSun 1:35 PM · -0.06
  • HighSun 8:58 PM · 0.74
  • LowMon 3:36 AM · 0.14
  • HighMon 9:40 AM · 0.53

Monthly YOLO day

Thursday, August 27

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. full · spring · tide range ~1.2 ft · wind to 21 mph · Clouds · 17%

Stay or drive · Galveston vs MatagordaOpen the calendarMorning dispatch

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Galveston North Jetty

    pass jetty · public structure · deep

    9.0

    Winter sheep on granite. Fall bulls. Midday tide on the rocks.

    • — pass jetty on an outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • — In-play: Sheepshead, Redfish, Speckled trout.
    structurespinfly

  • Trinity Bay shoreline

    marsh drain · field manual · mid

    9.0

    River stain after rain. Drains and mud. Winter drum mix with reds.

    • — marsh drain on an outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • — In-play: Redfish, Black drum, Speckled trout.
    skiffspinfly

  • Bolivar Roads Channel

    pass jetty · public structure · deep

    9.0

    USGS GNIS 1384775. The ship-channel throat between Galveston and Bolivar. Current over granite. Not a wade.

    USGS GNIS 1384775

    • — pass jetty on an outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • — In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Sheepshead.
    structureskiffspinfly

  • TX - Bolivar Peninsula west end / North Jetty

    pass jetty · saved map · mid

    9.0

    $10 annual sticker, camp anywhere. Wide sand near Rettilon Rd; walk to North Jetty. · camp-surf · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • — pass jetty on an outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • — In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Black drum, Sheepshead.
    structureskiffspinfly

  • TX - Follets Island CR 257 (free camping)

    pass jetty · saved map · mid

    9.0

    Free, no permit, 14-day max. Fish San Luis Pass gulf-side at dawn. · camp-surf · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • — pass jetty on an outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • — In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Black drum, Sheepshead.
    structurespinwade

  • Bolivar Peninsula beach - drivable/campable

    pass jetty · saved map · mid

    9.0

    $10 annual sticker, camp anywhere along ~27 mi. West end near Rettilon Rd is widest and house-free. NOTE: Rollover Pass was filled in - gone. · 1 - BEACH CORRIDORS (yellow=2WD, orange=4WD, red=Big Shell) · Texas coast — corridors, jetties, flats

    • — pass jetty on an outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • — In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Black drum, Sheepshead.
    structurespinwade

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    9.5

    Sun 8:00 AM → Sun 3:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Last light · incoming

    9.5

    Sun 3:00 PM → Sun 11:00 PM

    Last light on incoming water.

  • Last light · outgoing

    7.5

    Sun 10:00 PM → Mon 5:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • First light · incoming

    8.6

    Mon 5:00 AM → Mon 11:00 AM

    First light on incoming water.

  • Outgoing water

    9.5

    Mon 11:00 AM → Mon 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Same fish

Nets

Dock

Same fish · Galveston Bay · Speckled trout

10.0/ set

In the nets. 84% of sets had one.

2.6/ trip

Across the dock · 17.7 in. 45% of speckled trout-seeking parties had one.

Different units. The nets count what is in the water. The dock counts the fish they named, on the clipboard — not expanded landings.

Late file: 13.5/set · 2.0/trip. Flip the years to put that file in the tables.

Long record · Galveston Bay · gill nets

182,686 fish in 1,710 overnight sets

Spring nets (April–June) 1982–2019. Random shoreline grids in this bay system — not a mark on your map. Trinity, East, West, and Christmas in the same TPWD bay system.

In the netsPer setSets
Redfish13.888%
Speckled trout10.084%
Black drum6.980%
Southern flounder0.635%
Sheepshead0.527%

TPWD still sets spring (Apr–Jun) and fall (Sep–Nov). This public file ends in 2019. It does not update with the tide.

BCO-DMO 1982–2019Ask TPWD for years after 2019

Long record · Galveston Bay · dock counts

5,989 fish on 2,922 interviews

Low-use dock (Nov 21–May 14) 1991–2023. Public ramps and wet slips in this bay system — the bay they launched from, not a honey hole. Trinity, East, West, and Christmas in the same TPWD bay system.

Across the dockPer tripWith fish
Speckled trout2.645%
Red snappergulf8.976%
Redfish0.418%

TPWD still interviews year-round, 10:00–18:00, about 1,000 survey-days and 14,000 interviews a year. This public extract is targeting trips, 1991–2023. It does not update with the tide.

PLOS One 1991–2023How the creel worksAsk TPWD for expanded landings

Sabine LakeGalveston BayMatagorda BayAransas BayCorpus Christi BayUpper Laguna MadreLower Laguna Madre

Launch and beach access

Cited to TPWD, Texas GLO beach-access plans, and NPS. 2WD/4WD is the county plan, not a guess.

  • Seawolf Park

    TPWD / Galveston Parks — public ramp & pier

    Pelican Island. Ramp, pier, jetty-adjacent. County park fees.

    Official source

  • San Luis Pass County Park

    Brazoria County / GLO beach-access system

    Follets Island. Ramp and beach. Current at the pass — wade with respect.

    Official source

  • Galveston East Beach

    City of Galveston / Texas GLO beach access

    Drive-on beach. 2WD when packed; 4WD after rain. GLO + city plan, not a TPWD ramp.

    Official source

  • Galveston 61st Street / Offatts Bayou

    City of Galveston / TPWD-listed launch

    West Bay and Offatts. Trailer traffic. The bay side of the island.

    Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • — Tide is outgoing from NOAA 8771450 Galveston Pier 21.
  • — Clear. Sky is workable.
  • — Wind 15 mph SSW. Work the leeward shore. Fly gets harder.
  • — Waxing crescent moon — neap tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.
  • — USGS salinity well Trinity River at Wallisville is quiet or stale — not all-clear, not a color reading.

Black drum

Pogonias cromis

8.4

Thermal window

—

46°88°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Texas: 5/day, 14–30 in. One over 52 in allowed as part of the bag.

Sheepshead

Archosargus probatocephalus

8.4

Thermal window

—

48°84°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Texas: 5/day, 15 in minimum.

Redfish

Sciaenops ocellatus

6.6

Thermal window

—

48°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Texas (Sep 1 2025–Aug 31 2026): 3/day, 20–28 in slot. One over 28 in per license year with a Red Drum Tag.

Speckled trout

Cynoscion nebulosus

6.6

Thermal window

—

44°90°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Texas: 3/day, 15–20 in slot. One over 28 in per license year with a Spotted Seatrout Tag (plus bonus). Soft mouth + slot = measure every fish.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

—

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Regs citedTPWD Outdoor Annual · Sep 1, 2025–Aug 31, 2026 · rolls in 6 days. Texas bag and season roll every September 1. The stamp is the book we cited, not a license.