On This Water

Florida · Florida Bay / Flamingo

Redfish are the hunt — wind and color decide; slack here is a look, not a grind.

Backcountry. Reds and snook live here, not on the oceanside. Snake Bight, First National, the banks west of Flamingo. Wind and water color decide the day.

  • This brief is for 2027-01-20, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Snook are typically closed to harvest on the SE/Atlantic coast in this window. Verify FWC.
6.7OF 10

Forecast

medium confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, January 20. Back to this morning

Morning line

Flamingo 6.7 on Wednesday, January 20. 6 mph SE. Overcast. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-0.7-0.20.30.71.2HLHLHLHLTue 7 PMWed 7 PMThu 7 PMFri 7 PMSat 7 PM
high slack · -0.37 ft · drag or hover for the clockNOAA tide gauge 8723970 · Vaca Key, Florida Bay · ft MLLW · not a weather buoy

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW6MPH

From SE · gust 7

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Overcast

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

95% lit

Waxing gibbous

mid range · 95%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.4 ft

high slack

-0.37 ft MLLW

Clock

NOAA 8723970

  • HighWed 9:41 PM · 0.93
  • LowThu 5:29 AM · -0.38
  • HighThu 11:02 PM · 0.93
  • LowFri 6:14 AM · -0.31
  • HighSat 12:31 AM · 0.91

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 8.3

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.3 ft · wind to 12 mph · Thunderstorms · 51%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Snake Bight

    grass flat · field manual · skinny

    5.9

    USGS GNIS 291282 (Snake Bight Channel). Flamingo backcountry. Reds live here, not on the oceanside. Wind and color decide it.

    USGS GNIS 291282

    • grass flat on a high slack tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Redfish.
    skiffflyspin
  • Flamingo basins / Buttonwood

    mangrove edge · public structure · mid

    5.7

    Creeks and basins. Outgoing along the roots. Summer heat: early.

    • mangrove edge on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Redfish.
    skiffkayakspinfly
  • FL - Florida Bay (Flamingo)

    mangrove edge · saved map · mid

    5.7

    Snake Bight & the backcountry; campground on site. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • mangrove edge on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Redfish.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin
  • First National Bank

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    5.5

    A named bank, not a secret. Sight if the water holds.

    • hard flat on a high slack tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Redfish.
    skifffly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    9.9

    Wed 10:00 AMWed 10:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    8.0

    Wed 11:00 PMThu 7:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.9

    Thu 7:00 AMThu 11:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    8.0

    Fri 1:00 AMFri 8:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    8.0

    Fri 8:00 AMFri 10:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Launch and beach access

County and state ramps near this water. FKNMS no-take is Keys-only, on the legal list.

  • Flamingo Marina

    NPS Everglades National Park

    The Florida Bay launch. Park fee. Backcountry permit if you camp.

    Official source

Legal water

NOAA FKNMS management zones — Sanctuary Preservation Areas, Ecological Reserves, Research-Only.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is high slack from NOAA 8723970 Vaca Key, Florida Bay.
  • Overcast. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 6 mph SE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing gibbous moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Redfish

Sciaenops ocellatus

5.5

Thermal window

48°92°

Present, not peak.

Florida SE: typically 18–27 in, 1/person, 2/vessel. Harvest banned in federal waters. Keys backcountry, not oceanside. Boca Harbor yes.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

3.7

Thermal window

68°94°

Off-season here.

Florida: catch-and-release. Fish over 40 in must stay in the water. One harvest tag/year only for a potential IGFA record.

Snook

Centropomus undecimalis

1.3

Thermal window

56°92°

Closed to harvest — still swims, do not keep. Off-season here.

Region matters. SE/Atlantic (Jupiter, Biscayne): typically 28–32 in, 1/day, closed Dec 15–Jan 31 and June 1–Aug 31. Charlotte Harbor / Southwest (Boca Grande): typically 28–33 in, closed Dec 1–end of Feb and May 1–Sep 30. Snook permit required. Verify FWC.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.5

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak.

Generally unregulated. Ciguatera risk rises with size. Do not keep a big one for the table.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

3.7

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Regs citedFWC saltwater recreational · current FWC regional rules · rolls in 7 days. Snook closures are regional. Boca Grande is not Jupiter. Verify FWC before you keep one.