On This Water

Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge

Permit should be the day — weather decides more than Andros; wait.

East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.

  • This brief is for 2028-07-24, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
  • No NDBC on this desk
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
  • Glass · modeled
6.8OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Monday, July 24. Back to this morning

Morning line

Eleuthera 6.8 on Monday, July 24. 13 mph E. Mostly clear. YOLO day is Friday, August 28. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.0-1.00.01.02.1HLHLHLHLMon 8 AMTue 8 AMWed 8 AMThu 8 AM
high slack · 0.91 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW13MPH

From E · gust 17

Buoy

No station

None

No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Mostly clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Glass

Open-Meteo modeled

30.03 inHg

1017 mb · no 3-hour change yet

Modeled mean sea level. Not a dock barometer. The glass is not a bite.

Moon

7% lit

Waxing crescent

mid range · 7%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.1 ft

high slack

0.91 ft modeled

Coast

No live coast layer

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighMon 7:00 AM · 0.92
  • LowMon 2:00 PM · -0.98
  • HighMon 8:00 PM · 1.04
  • LowTue 2:00 AM · -1.08
  • HighTue 8:00 AM · 1.12

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Friday, August 28

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. full · spring · tide range ~1.5 ft · wind to 16 mph · Clouds · 19%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Current Cut

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    5.7

    Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.

    • channel gut on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffspinfly
  • Eleuthera east ocean flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    5.5

    Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.

    • hard flat on a high slack tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffwadefly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    8.5

    Mon 9:00 AMMon 4:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Last light · incoming

    9.4

    Mon 3:00 PMMon 10:00 PM

    Last light on incoming water.

  • Last light · outgoing

    9.4

    Mon 9:00 PMTue 4:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • First light · incoming

    9.4

    Tue 3:00 AMTue 10:00 AM

    First light on incoming water.

  • Outgoing water

    8.5

    Tue 9:00 AMTue 4:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is high slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Mostly clear. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 13 mph E. Work the leeward shore. Fly gets harder.
  • Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

7.3

Thermal window

66°92°

In peak season for this water.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

3.7

Thermal window

64°92°

Off-season here.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 4 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.