On This Water

Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge

Permit should be the day — the cut and the Exuma-edge banks as they fall.

East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.

  • This brief is for 2027-02-09. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
7.9OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Tuesday, February 9. Back to this morning

Morning line

Eleuthera 7.9 on Tuesday, February 9 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.1-1.0-0.01.02.1HLHLHLHLTue 7 AMWed 7 AMThu 7 AMFri 7 AM
outgoing · 0.91 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

10% lit

Waxing crescent

mid range · 10%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.3 ft

outgoing

0.91 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighTue 7:00 AM · 1.05
  • LowTue 1:00 PM · -1.09
  • HighTue 7:00 PM · 1.12
  • LowWed 2:00 AM · -1.17
  • HighWed 8:00 AM · 1.23

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.1

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.4 ft · wind to 10 mph · Clouds · 3%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Current Cut

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    7.7

    Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.

    • channel gut on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffspinfly
  • Eleuthera east ocean flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.7

    Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Tue 8:00 AMTue 3:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.1

    Tue 2:00 PMTue 9:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    8.0

    Tue 8:00 PMWed 3:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Wed 3:00 AMWed 10:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Wed 9:00 AMWed 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

6.6

Thermal window

66°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.