On This Water

Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge

Bonefish should be the day — Current Cut and the east-side ocean flats — permit first, bones second.

East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.

  • This brief is for 2026-12-15, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
7.6OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Tuesday, December 15. Back to this morning

Morning line

Eleuthera 7.6 on Tuesday, December 15. 10 mph ESE. Mostly clear. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.2-1.10.01.12.2LHLHLHLHTue 7 AMWed 7 AMThu 7 AMFri 7 AM
incoming · 1.27 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW10MPH

From ESE · gust 12

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Mostly clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

36% lit

Waxing crescent

neap range · 36%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 3.1 ft

incoming

1.27 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowTue 3:00 AM · -1.51
  • HighTue 9:00 AM · 1.53
  • LowTue 3:00 PM · -1.54
  • HighTue 9:00 PM · 1.53
  • LowWed 4:00 AM · -1.57

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 8.6

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.4 ft · wind to 15 mph · Clouds · 3%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Eleuthera east ocean flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    6.7

    Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • Current Cut

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    5.9

    Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.

    • channel gut on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    skiffspinfly

When

  • Incoming water

    9.0

    Tue 8:00 AMTue 11:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.9

    Tue 10:00 AMTue 5:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.9

    Tue 4:00 PMTue 11:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.0

    Tue 11:00 PMWed 6:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.0

    Wed 5:00 AMWed 12:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Mostly clear. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 10 mph ESE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing crescent moon — neap tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

4.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.