On This Water

Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge

Permit should be the day — Current Cut and the east-side ocean flats — permit first, bones second.

East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.

  • This brief is for 2026-10-21. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
8.2OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, October 21. Back to this morning

Morning line

Eleuthera 8.2 on Wednesday, October 21 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.0-1.0-0.01.02.0LHLHLHLHWed 8 AMThu 8 AMFri 8 AMSat 8 AM
incoming · -1.08 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

77% lit

Waxing gibbous

mid range · 77%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.9 ft

incoming

-1.08 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowWed 7:00 AM · -1.45
  • HighWed 1:00 PM · 1.44
  • LowWed 7:00 PM · -1.42
  • HighThu 1:00 AM · 1.39
  • LowThu 7:00 AM · -1.34

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Eleuthera east ocean flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    8.4

    Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • Current Cut

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    6.8

    Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.

    • channel gut on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffspinfly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Wed 8:00 AMWed 3:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Wed 2:00 PMWed 9:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    8.0

    Wed 8:00 PMThu 3:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Thu 2:00 AMThu 9:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Thu 8:00 AMThu 3:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Waxing gibbous moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

6.6

Thermal window

64°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

6.6

Thermal window

66°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.