Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge
Permit should be the day — the cut and the Exuma-edge banks as they fall.
East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2026-09-10, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
Forecast
low confidence
Forecast brief for Thursday, September 10. Back to this morning
Morning line
Eleuthera 7.1 on Thursday, September 10. 13 mph E. Rain · 34%. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
outgoing · -0.79 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge
Wind
OPEN-METEO
From E · gust 13
Sky
34% rain
Rain
Rain · 34%
Sight water goes blind. A marsh still fishes a shower.
Moon
2% lit
Waning crescent
spring range · 2%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 1.8 ft
outgoing
-0.79 ft modeled
Clock
Modeled M2
- HighThu 3:00 AM · 0.97
- LowThu 9:00 AM · -0.93
- HighThu 3:00 PM · 0.87
- LowThu 10:00 PM · -0.83
- HighFri 4:00 AM · 0.81
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Tuesday, August 25 · 9.1
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.4 ft · wind to 11 mph · Clouds · 3%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
- 7.2
Current Cut
channel gut · public structure · deep
Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.
- — channel gut on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffspinfly - 6.1
Eleuthera east ocean flats
hard flat · public structure · skinny
Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.
- — hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — Rain blinds skinny water. Sight dies before the fish do.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffwadefly
When
Outgoing water
9.3Thu 8:00 AM → Thu 11:00 AM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Incoming water
9.3Thu 10:00 AM → Thu 5:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
9.0Thu 4:00 PM → Thu 11:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Incoming water
7.9Thu 11:00 PM → Fri 6:00 AM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Outgoing water
9.3Fri 5:00 AM → Fri 12:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Why — and who
- — Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Rain · 34%. Marsh still fishes in a shower. A soaker is a different day.
- — Wind 13 mph E. Work the leeward shore. Fly gets harder.
- — Waning crescent moon — spring tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.
6.6
Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
—
Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 8 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.