On This Water

Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge

Permit should be the day — the cut and the Exuma-edge banks as they fall.

East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.

  • This brief is for 2026-08-12, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
7.8OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, August 12. Back to this morning

Morning line

Eleuthera 7.8 on Wednesday, August 12. 7 mph E. Clear. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.3-0.60.00.71.3HLHLHLHLWed 8 AMThu 8 AMFri 8 AMSat 8 AM
outgoing · -0.57 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW7MPH

From E · gust 10

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clear

Clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

1% lit

New

spring range · 1%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.6 ft

outgoing

-0.57 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighWed 3:00 AM · 0.86
  • LowWed 10:00 AM · -0.83
  • HighWed 4:00 PM · 0.81
  • LowWed 10:00 PM · -0.78
  • HighThu 5:00 AM · 0.75

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.1

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.4 ft · wind to 11 mph · Clouds · 3%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Current Cut

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    7.7

    Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.

    • channel gut on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffspinfly
  • Eleuthera east ocean flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.0

    Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffwadefly

When

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Wed 8:00 AMWed 12:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.1

    Wed 11:00 AMWed 6:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    10.0

    Wed 5:00 PMThu 12:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    10.0

    Wed 11:00 PMThu 6:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    10.0

    Thu 6:00 AMThu 1:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Clear. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 7 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • New moon — spring tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

6.6

Thermal window

66°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

4.8

Thermal window

64°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 8 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.