Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge
Permit should be the day — Current Cut and the east-side ocean flats — permit first, bones second.
East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2026-07-20, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
- Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
- No NDBC on this desk
- Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
Forecast
low confidence
Forecast brief for Monday, July 20. Back to this morning
Morning line
Eleuthera 8.3 on Monday, July 20. 9 mph E. Clear. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
incoming · 0.82 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
From E · gust 11
Buoy
No station
None
No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Clear
Clear
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Moon
33% lit
Waxing crescent
neap range · 33%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 3.1 ft
incoming
0.82 ft modeled
Coast
No live coast layer
Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.
Clock
Modeled M2
- LowMon 4:00 AM · -1.46
- HighMon 10:00 AM · 1.50
- LowMon 4:00 PM · -1.53
- HighMon 10:00 PM · 1.54
- LowTue 4:00 AM · -1.54
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Tuesday, August 25
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.4 ft · wind to 11 mph · Clouds · 3%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 7.7
Eleuthera east ocean flats
hard flat · public structure · skinny
Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.
- — hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffwadefly - 6.8
Current Cut
channel gut · public structure · deep
Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.
- — channel gut on a incoming tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffspinfly
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Incoming water
9.1Mon 8:00 AM → Mon 12:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Outgoing water
9.1Mon 11:00 AM → Mon 6:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Last light · incoming
10.0Mon 5:00 PM → Tue 12:00 AM
Last light on incoming water.
Last light · outgoing
10.0Mon 11:00 PM → Tue 6:00 AM
Last light on outgoing water.
First light · incoming
10.0Tue 5:00 AM → Tue 1:00 PM
First light on incoming water.
Why — and who
- — Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Clear. Sky is workable.
- — Wind 9 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
- — Waxing crescent moon — neap tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.
8.4
Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
—
Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.