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Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge

Permit should be the day — the cut and the Exuma-edge banks as they fall.

East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.

  • ⚠ This brief is for 2026-07-16. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
8.1OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Thursday, July 16. Back to this morning

Morning line

Eleuthera 8.1 on Thursday, July 16 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.9-0.90.01.01.9HLHLHLHLThu 8 AMFri 8 AMSat 8 AMSun 8 AM
outgoing · 0.65 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW—MPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

3% lit

Waxing crescent

spring range · 3%

Water

No gauge

Water

—

48°92°

Today’s range 1.9 ft

outgoing

0.65 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighThu 7:00 AM · 0.82
  • LowThu 1:00 PM · -0.87
  • HighThu 7:00 PM · 0.90
  • LowFri 1:00 AM · -0.92
  • HighFri 8:00 AM · 0.98

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Stay or drive · Eleuthera vs G. BahamaOpen the calendarMorning dispatch

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Current Cut

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    7.7

    Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.

    • — channel gut on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • — In-play: Permit.
    skiffspinfly

  • Eleuthera east ocean flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.0

    Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.

    • — hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • — In-play: Permit.
    skiffwadefly

When

  • Outgoing water

    8.5

    Thu 8:00 AM → Thu 3:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Thu 2:00 PM → Thu 9:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Thu 8:00 PM → Fri 3:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Fri 3:00 AM → Fri 10:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.5

    Fri 9:00 AM → Fri 4:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • — Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • — Waxing crescent moon — spring tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

8.4

Thermal window

—

66°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

4.8

Thermal window

—

64°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

—

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

—

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.