On This Water

Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge

Permit should be the day — Current Cut and the east-side ocean flats — permit first, bones second.

East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.

  • This brief is for 2026-05-21. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
8.7OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Thursday, May 21. Back to this morning

Morning line

Eleuthera 8.7 on Thursday, May 21 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.2-1.1-0.01.12.2LHLHLHLHThu 8 AMFri 8 AMSat 8 AMSun 8 AM
incoming · 1.07 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

24% lit

Waxing crescent

mid range · 24%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.9 ft

incoming

1.07 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowThu 3:00 AM · -1.33
  • HighThu 9:00 AM · 1.35
  • LowThu 4:00 PM · -1.36
  • HighThu 10:00 PM · 1.43
  • LowFri 4:00 AM · -1.47

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Eleuthera east ocean flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    8.4

    Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • Current Cut

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    6.8

    Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.

    • channel gut on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffspinfly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Thu 8:00 AMThu 11:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Thu 10:00 AMThu 5:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.1

    Thu 5:00 PMFri 12:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.0

    Thu 11:00 PMFri 6:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Fri 5:00 AMFri 12:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

8.4

Thermal window

66°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.