On This Water

Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge

Permit should be the day — hold for the next push through the cut.

East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.

  • This brief is for 2026-05-13, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
7.4OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, May 13. Back to this morning

Morning line

Eleuthera 7.4 on Wednesday, May 13. 10 mph E. Mostly clear. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.7-0.8-0.00.81.7LHLHLHLHWed 8 AMThu 8 AMFri 8 AMSat 8 AM
low slack · -1.23 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW10MPH

From E · gust 11

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Mostly clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

11% lit

Waning crescent

mid range · 11%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.4 ft

low slack

-1.23 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowWed 7:00 AM · -1.24
  • HighWed 2:00 PM · 1.21
  • LowWed 8:00 PM · -1.18
  • HighThu 2:00 AM · 1.14
  • LowThu 8:00 AM · -1.08

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Current Cut

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    6.4

    Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.

    • channel gut on a low slack tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffspinfly
  • Eleuthera east ocean flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    5.5

    Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.

    • hard flat on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    9.9

    Wed 9:00 AMWed 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.6

    Wed 3:00 PMWed 10:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    8.6

    Wed 9:00 PMThu 4:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.9

    Thu 3:00 AMThu 10:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.9

    Thu 9:00 AMThu 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is low slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Mostly clear. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 10 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waning crescent moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

7.3

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

7.3

Thermal window

66°92°

In peak season for this water.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.