On This Water

Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge

Permit should be the day — Current Cut and the east-side ocean flats — permit first, bones second.

East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.

  • This brief is for 2026-04-22, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
  • No NDBC on this desk
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
8.9OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, April 22. Back to this morning

Morning line

Eleuthera 8.9 on Wednesday, April 22. 9 mph E. Clear. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.2-1.1-0.01.12.2LHLHLHLHWed 8 AMThu 8 AMFri 8 AMSat 8 AM
incoming · 0.95 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW9MPH

From E · gust 11

Buoy

No station

None

No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clear

Clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

29% lit

Waxing crescent

mid range · 29%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 3.0 ft

incoming

0.95 ft modeled

Coast

No live coast layer

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowWed 4:00 AM · -1.37
  • HighWed 10:00 AM · 1.43
  • LowWed 4:00 PM · -1.48
  • HighWed 10:00 PM · 1.51
  • LowThu 4:00 AM · -1.53

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.4 ft · wind to 11 mph · Clouds · 3%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Eleuthera east ocean flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    8.4

    Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • Current Cut

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    6.8

    Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.

    • channel gut on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffspinfly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    10.0

    Wed 8:00 AMWed 12:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Wed 11:00 AMWed 6:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Last light · incoming

    9.7

    Wed 5:00 PMThu 12:00 AM

    Last light on incoming water.

  • Last light · outgoing

    8.7

    Wed 11:00 PMThu 6:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • First light · incoming

    10.0

    Thu 5:00 AMThu 12:00 PM

    First light on incoming water.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Clear. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 9 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

8.4

Thermal window

66°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.