Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge
Permit should be the day — the cut and the Exuma-edge banks as they fall.
East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2026-04-16. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
- Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
- No NDBC on this desk
- Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
Tide + moon
low confidence
Forecast brief for Thursday, April 16. Back to this morning
Morning line
Eleuthera 8.4 on Thursday, April 16 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
outgoing · -0.51 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
No wind reading
Buoy
No station
None
No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Sky not in
Sky not in
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Moon
1% lit
New
spring range · 1%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 1.6 ft
outgoing
-0.51 ft modeled
Coast
No live coast layer
Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.
Clock
Modeled M2
- HighThu 4:00 AM · 0.84
- LowThu 10:00 AM · -0.82
- HighThu 4:00 PM · 0.80
- LowThu 10:00 PM · -0.76
- HighFri 5:00 AM · 0.76
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 7.7
Current Cut
channel gut · public structure · deep
Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.
- — channel gut on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffspinfly - 7.7
Eleuthera east ocean flats
hard flat · public structure · skinny
Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.
- — hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
skiffwadefly
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Outgoing water
9.4Thu 8:00 AM → Thu 12:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Incoming water
9.1Thu 11:00 AM → Thu 6:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Last light · outgoing
9.1Thu 5:00 PM → Fri 12:00 AM
Last light on outgoing water.
First light · incoming
8.0Fri 12:00 AM → Fri 7:00 AM
First light on incoming water.
First light · outgoing
9.4Fri 6:00 AM → Fri 1:00 PM
First light on outgoing water.
Why — and who
- — Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — New moon — spring tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.
8.4
Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.