Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
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In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge
Permit should be the day — the cut and the Exuma-edge banks as they fall.
East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2026-03-16. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
Tide + moon
low confidence
Forecast brief for Monday, March 16. Back to this morning
Morning line
Eleuthera 8.4 on Monday, March 16 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
outgoing · -1.06 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
No wind reading
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Sky not in
Sky not in
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Moon
5% lit
Waning crescent
mid range · 5%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 2.1 ft
outgoing
-1.06 ft modeled
Clock
Modeled M2
- LowMon 8:00 AM · -1.06
- HighMon 3:00 PM · 1.00
- LowMon 9:00 PM · -0.97
- HighTue 3:00 AM · 0.94
- LowTue 9:00 AM · -0.89
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Tuesday, August 25 · 9.1
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.4 ft · wind to 10 mph · Clouds · 3%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 7.7
Current Cut
channel gut · public structure · deep
Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.
- — channel gut on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffspinfly - 7.7
Eleuthera east ocean flats
hard flat · public structure · skinny
Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.
- — hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
skiffwadefly
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Outgoing water
9.4Mon 8:00 AM → Mon 10:00 AM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Incoming water
9.4Mon 9:00 AM → Mon 4:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
9.1Mon 4:00 PM → Mon 11:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Incoming water
8.0Mon 10:00 PM → Tue 5:00 AM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Outgoing water
9.4Tue 4:00 AM → Tue 11:00 AM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Why — and who
- — Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Waning crescent moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.
8.4
Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.