On This Water

Bahamas · Eleuthera / Exuma edge

Bonefish should be the day — weather decides more than Andros; wait.

East-side ocean flats, Current Cut, the Exuma bank if you keep going. Permit and bones, more weather than Andros.

  • This brief is for 2026-01-31. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
  • Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
  • No NDBC on this desk
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
7.6OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Saturday, January 31. Back to this morning

Morning line

Eleuthera 7.6 on Saturday, January 31 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.4-0.70.00.71.4LHLHLHLHSat 7 AMSun 7 AMMon 7 AMTue 7 AM
high slack · -1.00 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Buoy

No station

None

No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

96% lit

Waxing gibbous

spring range · 96%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.0 ft

high slack

-1.00 ft modeled

Coast

No live coast layer

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowSat 8:00 AM · -1.00
  • HighSat 2:00 PM · 0.97
  • LowSat 8:00 PM · -0.93
  • HighSun 2:00 AM · 0.88
  • LowSun 9:00 AM · -0.83

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Eleuthera east ocean flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    6.4

    Ocean swell and wind. When it lays down, it is the shot.

    • hard flat on a high slack tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • Current Cut

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    5.2

    Named cut. Current is the whole fishery. Not a beginner wade.

    • channel gut on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
    skiffspinfly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Sat 9:00 AMSat 4:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Last light · outgoing

    9.4

    Sat 3:00 PMSat 10:00 PM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • Last light · incoming

    8.0

    Sat 9:00 PMSun 4:00 AM

    Last light on incoming water.

  • First light · outgoing

    9.4

    Sun 3:00 AMSun 10:00 AM

    First light on outgoing water.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Sun 10:00 AMSun 5:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is high slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Waxing gibbous moon — spring tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

7.3

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

3.7

Thermal window

66°92°

Off-season here.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.5

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

3.7

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.