On This Water

Mexico · East Cape / Los Barriles

Roosterfish should be the day — the East Cape beaches for rooster, then Gordo if the blue water is in.

Baja California Sur. Roosterfish in the surf and on the beaches. Dorado and tuna on Gordo Banks when the water is right. Pacific and Cortez, not the Gulf of Mexico. Do not invent a rooster on Laguna Madre.

  • This brief is for 2026-02-11, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Mexico requires a CONAPESCA license. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water — verify before you fish.
  • Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
  • No NDBC on this desk
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
7.4OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, February 11. Back to this morning

Morning line

East Cape 7.4 on Wednesday, February 11. 4 mph ESE. Partly cloudy. YOLO day is Wednesday, August 26. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.7-0.90.00.91.7HLHLHLHLWed 5 AMThu 5 AMFri 5 AMSat 5 AM
incoming · 1.28 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW4MPH

From ESE · gust 5

Buoy

No station

None

No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Partly cloudy

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

31% lit

Waning crescent

neap range · 31%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.6 ft

incoming

1.28 ft modeled

Coast

No live coast layer

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighWed 8:00 AM · 1.28
  • LowWed 2:00 PM · -1.28
  • HighWed 8:00 PM · 1.26
  • LowThu 2:00 AM · -1.23
  • HighThu 8:00 AM · 1.18

Mexico tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing. There is no NOAA gauge here.

Monthly YOLO day

Wednesday, August 26

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · spring · tide range ~1.5 ft · wind to 8 mph · Clouds · 20%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • East Cape beaches

    sand dropoff · public structure · mid

    6.7

    Rooster in the wash. Live mullet or a big baitfish fly. Pacific surf, not a Texas jetty.

    • sand dropoff on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Roosterfish.
    wadespinflyskiff

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    9.9

    Wed 8:00 AMWed 10:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.9

    Wed 9:00 AMWed 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Last light · incoming

    9.6

    Wed 3:00 PMWed 10:00 PM

    Last light on incoming water.

  • Last light · outgoing

    8.6

    Wed 9:00 PMThu 4:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • First light · incoming

    9.9

    Thu 3:00 AMThu 10:00 AM

    First light on incoming water.

Launch and beach access

Lodge towns and cited marinas. CONAPESCA license. Biosphere and park water is not a freelance wade.

  • Los Barriles launches

    CONAPESCA / BCS

    East Cape door. Surf rooster and the run to Gordo.

    Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Partly cloudy. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 4 mph ESE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waning crescent moon — neap tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Roosterfish

Nematistius pectoralis

6.6

Thermal window

68°92°

Pacific / Sea of Cortez. Baja, not the Gulf. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Mexico: verify CONAPESCA. East Cape and La Paz programs are typically catch-and-release.

Mahi-mahi

Coryphaena hippurus

2.0

Thermal window

66°92°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida: typically 10/person, 60/vessel, 20 in fork. Texas: 3/day in federal waters under HMS/coastal rules — verify NOAA HMS and TPWD. Mexico: verify CONAPESCA. Bahamas: check current bag.

Tuna (blackfin / yellowfin)

Thunnus atlanticus / Thunnus albacares

2.0

Thermal window

66°92°

Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Federal HMS rules. Yellowfin typically 27 in curved fork. Blackfin often more liberal — verify NOAA HMS and FWC/TPWD the morning you leave the inlet.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Incidental. Ciguatera is a real reason not to keep a big one.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Incidental. Not why you booked Ascension or East Cape.

Regs citedCONAPESCA recreational license · current CONAPESCA rules · rolls in 7 days. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water. Roosterfish is Baja, not the Gulf.