Nematistius pectoralis
Thermal window
—
Pacific / Sea of Cortez. Baja, not the Gulf. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Mexico: verify CONAPESCA. East Cape and La Paz programs are typically catch-and-release.
Mexico · East Cape / Los Barriles
Roosterfish should be the day — the East Cape beaches for rooster, then Gordo if the blue water is in.
Baja California Sur. Roosterfish in the surf and on the beaches. Dorado and tuna on Gordo Banks when the water is right. Pacific and Cortez, not the Gulf of Mexico. Do not invent a rooster on Laguna Madre.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2025-03-12. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
- ⚠ Mexico requires a CONAPESCA license. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water — verify before you fish.
- Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
- No NDBC on this desk
- Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
- Glass · no dock barometer
Tide + moon
low confidence
Forecast brief for Wednesday, March 12. Back to this morning
Morning line
East Cape 7.6 on Wednesday, March 12 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Saturday, August 29. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
incoming · 0.31 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
No wind reading
Buoy
No station
None
No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.
Sky
OPEN-METEO
No sky reading
No sky reading
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Glass
No barometer
—
No live or modeled glass on this desk.
Three-hour change on this station. The glass is not a bite.
Moon
96% lit
Waxing gibbous
spring range · 96%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 1.6 ft
incoming
0.31 ft modeled
Coast
No live coast layer
Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.
Clock
Modeled M2
- LowWed 4:00 AM · -0.87
- HighWed 10:00 AM · 0.82
- LowWed 5:00 PM · -0.78
- HighWed 11:00 PM · 0.75
- LowThu 5:00 AM · -0.72
Mexico tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing. There is no NOAA gauge here.
Monthly YOLO day
Saturday, August 29
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waning gibbous · spring · tide range ~1.4 ft · wind to 9 mph · Clouds · 32%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 7.0
sand dropoff · public structure · mid
Rooster in the wash. Live mullet or a big baitfish fly. Pacific surf, not a Texas jetty.
- — sand dropoff on an incoming tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Roosterfish.
wadespinflyskiff
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Incoming water
9.4Wed 8:00 AM → Wed 12:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
9.1Wed 11:00 AM → Wed 6:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Last light · incoming
9.1Wed 6:00 PM → Thu 1:00 AM
Last light on incoming water.
First light · outgoing
8.0Thu 12:00 AM → Thu 7:00 AM
First light on outgoing water.
First light · incoming
9.4Thu 6:00 AM → Thu 1:00 PM
First light on incoming water.
Launch and beach access
Lodge towns and cited marinas. CONAPESCA license. Biosphere and park water is not a freelance wade.
Los Barriles launches
CONAPESCA / BCS
East Cape door. Surf rooster and the run to Gordo.
Official source
Legal water
No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.
No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.
Why — and who
- — Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Waxing gibbous moon — spring tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.
6.6
Thunnus atlanticus / Thunnus albacares
Thermal window
—
Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Federal HMS rules. Yellowfin typically 27 in curved fork. Blackfin often more liberal — verify NOAA HMS and FWC/TPWD the morning you leave the inlet.
Coryphaena hippurus
Thermal window
—
Bluewater. Weedlines, humps, and the edge — not this flat or marsh. Switch method to Offshore. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Florida: typically 10/person, 60/vessel, 20 in fork. Texas: 3/day in federal waters under HMS/coastal rules — verify NOAA HMS and TPWD. Mexico: verify CONAPESCA. Bahamas: check current bag.
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Incidental. Ciguatera is a real reason not to keep a big one.
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Incidental. Not why you booked Ascension or East Cape.
Regs citedCONAPESCA recreational license · current CONAPESCA rules · rolls in 4 days. Sian Ka’an, Contoy, and Espíritu Santo are park or biosphere water. Roosterfish is Baja, not the Gulf.