Texas · Corpus Christi Bay

Redfish should be the day — Packery and the Mustang backside, then the Port A jetties if the bulls are in.

Packery, Shamrock, Nueces, Mustang backside. Pass water at Port Aransas. Bull reds on the jetties in fall.

⚠ This brief is for 2027-10-07, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.

Tide · modeled — NOAA 8775792 quiet
NDBC ANPT2 quiet
No salinity probe on this desk
River · USGS 08211000
Red-tide check failed — not all-clear
Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
Glass · modeled
Water temp quiet

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Thursday, October 7. Back to this morning

Morning line

Corpus 9.1 on Thursday, October 7. 7 mph ESE. Clear. YOLO day is Wednesday, August 26. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it

incoming · 0.21 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

From ESE · gust 7

Buoy

NDBC ANPT2

Quiet

Aransas Pass did not report. Witness only — not the tide clock.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Glass

Open-Meteo modeled

30.00 inHg

1016 mb · no 3-hour change yet

Modeled mean sea level. Not a dock barometer. The glass is not a bite.

Moon

44% lit

First quarter

neap range · 44%

Water

No gauge

Water

—

Today’s range 0.6 ft

incoming

0.21 ft modeled

Coast

No live coast layer

Red-tide check failed. That is not all-clear — open the agency page before you wade.

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Salinity / color
No USGS 00480 well on this desk. Do not borrow another bay’s river.

River

USGS 08211000

79 cfs

Nueces Rv nr Mathis, TX

Discharge into this bay. High water stains the flat.

Wind vs table

No live gauge

—

No live gauge this hour — the printed tide is the forecast.

Clock

NOAA 8775792

LowThu 3:00 AM · -0.27
HighThu 9:00 AM · 0.27
LowThu 4:00 PM · -0.27
HighThu 10:00 PM · 0.28
LowFri 4:00 AM · -0.28

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Wednesday, August 26

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waxing gibbous · spring · tide range ~0.3 ft · wind to 18 mph · Clouds · 1%

7.8

Stay or drive · Corpus vs Baffin Open the calendar Morning dispatch

Next two weeks

Look at the water, not the table

Full calendar

Wed

Δ0.3ft

Thu

Δ0.3ft

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

TX - Goose Island State Park
grass flat · saved map · mid
9.0
Camp base; kayak St. Charles/Copano. Winter reds + whoopers. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH
- — grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Redfish, Tarpon, Speckled trout, Mangrove / gray snapper.
skiffkayakwadeflyspin
TX - Bird Island Basin (PINS)
grass flat · saved map · mid
9.0
Camp ON the Upper Laguna flats. Kayak launch on site. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH
- — grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Redfish, Tarpon, Speckled trout, Mangrove / gray snapper.
skiffkayakwadeflyspin
Nine Mile Hole / upper Laguna back country
grass flat · saved map · skinny
9.0
Remote ULM sight-casting. Shallow, skinny, low pressure. APPROX. · 4 - FLATS ZONES - NO WADE REQUIRED (green) · Texas coast — corridors, jetties, flats
- — grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Redfish, Tarpon, Speckled trout, Mangrove / gray snapper.
skiffkayakwadeflyspin
TX - Mustang Island SP
pass jetty · saved map · mid
8.7
Reservable beach sites; Fish Pass jetty 1 mi up-beach; bayside kayak trail. · camp-surf · GULF ATLAS! - FISH
- — pass jetty on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Redfish, Tarpon, Speckled trout, Mangrove / gray snapper.
structurespinwade
TX - PINS South Beach miles 0-5
pass jetty · saved map · mid
8.7
Free primitive w/ park pass. 2WD-friendly first 5 miles. · camp-surf · GULF ATLAS! - FISH
- — pass jetty on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Redfish, Tarpon, Speckled trout, Mangrove / gray snapper.
structurespinwade
TX - Port Aransas IB Magee Beach Park
pass jetty · saved map · mid
8.7
County campground at the south jetty. Family venue. · camp-surf · GULF ATLAS! - FISH
- — pass jetty on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Redfish, Tarpon, Speckled trout, Mangrove / gray snapper.
structurespinwade

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

Incoming water
10.0
Thu 8:00 AM → Thu 11:00 AM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
8.7
Thu 11:00 AM → Thu 5:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Last light · incoming
9.7
Thu 5:00 PM → Thu 11:00 PM
Last light on incoming water.
Last light · outgoing
8.7
Thu 11:00 PM → Fri 5:00 AM
Last light on outgoing water.
First light · incoming
10.0
Fri 5:00 AM → Fri 12:00 PM
First light on incoming water.

Long record · Corpus Christi Bay · gill nets

136,214 fish in 1,710 overnight sets

Fall nets are in (September–November) 1982–2019. Random shoreline grids in this bay system — not a mark on your map. Packery and the pass. Not Upper Laguna.

In the nets	Per set	Counted	Sets
Black drum	10.6	18,161	85%
Redfish	10.5	17,979	91%
Speckled trout	6.3	10,693	92%
Sheepshead	1.0	1,654	33%
Southern flounder	0.8	1,342	38%

Late file (2015–2019): Redfish 10.9/set · Black drum 9.0/set · Speckled trout 7.9/set. Same gear, last years in the public compilation.

TPWD still sets spring (Apr–Jun) and fall (Sep–Nov). This public file ends in 2019. It does not update with the tide.

BCO-DMO 1982–2019 Ask TPWD for years after 2019

Launch and beach access

Cited to TPWD, Texas GLO beach-access plans, and NPS. 2WD/4WD is the county plan, not a guess.

Goose Island State Park
TPWD state park
Ramp, pier, wade shore. Copano / St. Charles.
Official source
Packery Channel County Park
Nueces County / TPWD-listed launch
Ramp both sides of the cut. Wade the bars on a moving tide.
Official source
Malaquite Visitor Center — PINS
NPS Padre Island National Seashore
South Beach driving is 4WD, NPS permit, tires aired down. Closed sections shift after storms. Confirm nps.gov/pais before you drop a tire.
Official source
PINS North Beach
NPS Padre Island National Seashore
North Beach is the easier drive. Still NPS rules, not a county 2WD corridor.
Official source
Fulton Harbor
Aransas County / TPWD-listed launch
Copano and Aransas. Goose Island is the other public door.
Official source
Rockport Beach
City of Rockport / GLO beach access
Bay beach, pier, and park. Not a Gulf drive-on corridor.
Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

— Tide is incoming (modeled — NOAA 8775792 Packery Channel did not answer).
— Clear. Sky is workable.
— Wind 7 mph ESE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
— First quarter moon — neap tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.
— No USGS 00480 well on this desk. Do not read another bay’s river as this water.

Redfish

Sciaenops ocellatus

8.4

Thermal window

—

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas (Sep 1 2025–Aug 31 2026): 3/day, 20–28 in slot. One over 28 in per license year with a Red Drum Tag.

Speckled trout

Cynoscion nebulosus

8.4

Thermal window

—

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas: 3/day, 15–20 in slot. One over 28 in per license year with a Spotted Seatrout Tag (plus bonus). Soft mouth + slot = measure every fish.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

6.6

Thermal window

—

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas: treat as catch-and-release.

Mangrove / gray snapper

Lutjanus griseus

6.6

Thermal window

—

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas: typically 12 in, 4/day under snapper rules — verify TPWD.

Black drum

Pogonias cromis

4.8

Thermal window

—

Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas: 5/day, 14–30 in. One over 52 in allowed as part of the bag.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

—

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Regs citedTPWD Outdoor Annual · Sep 1, 2025–Aug 31, 2026 · rolls in 6 days. Texas bag and season roll every September 1. The stamp is the book we cited, not a license.