On This Water

Florida · Boca Grande / Charlotte Harbor

Redfish should be the day — sit the falling pass and the first harbor drains; this is current water.

The pass. Migratory tarpon stack in Boca Grande Pass in spring. Charlotte Harbor and Gasparilla hold snook and reds. NOAA 8725577 is the pass clock (predictions). Water temp is Fort Myers 8725520 — there is no live well at the inlet.

  • This brief is for 2026-12-15, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Charlotte Harbor / Southwest snook harvest is typically closed May 1–Sep 30 and Dec 1–end of Feb. Verify FWC.
8.1OF 10

Forecast

medium confidence

Forecast brief for Tuesday, December 15. Back to this morning

Morning line

Boca Grande 8.1 on Tuesday, December 15. 4 mph E. Clear. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-0.10.30.81.21.7LHLHLHLHMon 7 PMTue 7 PMWed 7 PMThu 7 PMFri 7 PM
outgoing · 0.54 ftNOAA hourly · ft MLLW

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW4MPH

From E · gust 5

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clear

Clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

36% lit

Waxing crescent

neap range · 36%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.2 ft

outgoing

0.54 ft MLLW

Clock

NOAA 8725577

  • LowTue 10:58 AM · 0.16
  • HighTue 6:44 PM · 1.03
  • LowTue 10:40 PM · 0.89
  • HighWed 3:17 AM · 1.15
  • LowWed 11:32 AM · 0.31

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.0

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.3 ft · wind to 9 mph · Clouds · 11%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Boca Grande Pass

    pass jetty · public structure · deep

    7.7

    The pass. NOAA 8725577 is the clock. Spring tarpon stack here. Current is the whole fishery — not a wade, not a skinny skiff.

    • pass jetty on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish.
    skiffstructurespinfly
  • Cayo Costa / Boca Grande side

    sand dropoff · public structure · mid

    7.4

    State park shoreline south of the pass. Beach and bar. Park rules, not a private cut.

    • sand dropoff on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish.
    skiffwadespinfly
  • Gasparilla Sound

    grass flat · public structure · mid

    6.4

    Harbor grass inside the pass. Reds and snook. Do not invent a hole — this is the sound.

    • grass flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Redfish.
    skiffkayakflyspin
  • FL - Pine Island Sound via Matlacha

    grass flat · saved map · skinny

    5.7

    Iconic sound flats: reds, snook, tarpon lanes. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • grass flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin

When

  • Outgoing water

    10.0

    Tue 8:00 AMTue 1:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    10.0

    Tue 12:00 PMTue 8:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.1

    Tue 8:00 PMWed 12:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    8.1

    Wed 12:00 AMWed 5:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    10.0

    Wed 5:00 AMWed 1:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Launch and beach access

County and state ramps near this water. FKNMS no-take is Keys-only, on the legal list.

  • Placida / Gasparilla public ramps

    Charlotte County

    Harbor side of the Boca desk. The Pass is a run south from here.

    Official source
  • Cayo Costa State Park

    Florida State Parks

    Barrier island south of Boca Grande Pass. Boat or ferry. Park rules.

    Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing from NOAA.
  • Clear. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 4 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing crescent moon — neap tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Redfish

Sciaenops ocellatus

6.6

Thermal window

48°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Florida SE: typically 18–27 in, 1/person, 2/vessel. Harvest banned in federal waters. Keys backcountry, not oceanside. Boca Harbor yes.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

4.8

Thermal window

68°94°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Florida: catch-and-release. Fish over 40 in must stay in the water. One harvest tag/year only for a potential IGFA record.

Mangrove / gray snapper

Lutjanus griseus

4.8

Thermal window

64°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Florida: typically 10 in, inside the snapper aggregate. Verify FWC.

Snook

Centropomus undecimalis

1.7

Thermal window

56°92°

Closed to harvest — still swims, do not keep. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Region matters. SE/Atlantic (Jupiter, Biscayne): typically 28–32 in, 1/day, closed Dec 15–Jan 31 and June 1–Aug 31. Charlotte Harbor / Southwest (Boca Grande): typically 28–33 in, closed Dec 1–end of Feb and May 1–Sep 30. Snook permit required. Verify FWC.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Ciguatera risk rises with size. Do not keep a big one for the table.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Regs citedFWC saltwater recreational · current FWC regional rules · rolls in 7 days. Snook closures are regional. Boca Grande is not Jupiter. Verify FWC before you keep one.