On This Water

Texas · Aransas / Copano / Redfish

Redfish should be the day — flood Copano and Redfish Bay grass — this is the mid-coast skiff day.

Grass-and-oyster working water. Lydia Ann, Copano reefs, Redfish Bay. The mid-coast skiff and wade theater.

  • This brief is for 2027-02-16. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
8.4OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Tuesday, February 16. Back to this morning

Morning line

Rockport 8.4 on Tuesday, February 16 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Wednesday, August 26. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-0.6-0.3-0.00.30.5LHLHLHLHTue 6 AMWed 6 AMThu 6 AMFri 6 AM
incoming · 0.14 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

NWS

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

NWS

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

77% lit

Waxing gibbous

mid range · 77%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 0.8 ft

incoming

0.14 ft modeled

Wind vs table

No live gauge

No live gauge this hour — the printed tide is the forecast.

Clock

NOAA 8774770

  • LowTue 4:00 AM · -0.41
  • HighTue 10:00 AM · 0.40
  • LowTue 5:00 PM · -0.39
  • HighTue 11:00 PM · 0.38
  • LowWed 5:00 AM · -0.38

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Wednesday, August 26 · 8.9

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · spring · tide range ~0.4 ft · wind to 12 mph · 5% chance of rain

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • TX - Army Hole, Matagorda Island WMA

    grass flat · saved map · mid

    9.0

    Boat-in designated campsite; TPWD LPU permit. Expedition base. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Black drum.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin
  • TX - Pringle Lake (boat-in via POC)

    grass flat · saved map · skinny

    9.0

    Storied clear sight-casting backlake. The one guide-trip splurge. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Black drum.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin
  • TX - Goose Island State Park

    grass flat · saved map · mid

    9.0

    Camp base; kayak St. Charles/Copano. Winter reds + whoopers. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Black drum.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin
  • Pringle Lake / Matagorda Island backlakes

    grass flat · saved map · skinny

    9.0

    Storied clear-water sight-casting backlake. Gin-clear, grass bottom, reds pushing wakes. Boat/towed-kayak via Port O'Connor. THE one guide-trip splurge. · 4 - FLATS ZONES - NO WADE REQUIRED (green) · Texas coast — corridors, jetties, flats

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Black drum.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin
  • TX - Mustang Island SP

    pass jetty · saved map · mid

    8.7

    Reservable beach sites; Fish Pass jetty 1 mi up-beach; bayside kayak trail. · camp-surf · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • pass jetty on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Black drum.
    structurespinwade
  • TX - Port Aransas IB Magee Beach Park

    pass jetty · saved map · mid

    8.7

    County campground at the south jetty. Family venue. · camp-surf · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • pass jetty on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Redfish, Speckled trout, Black drum.
    structurespinwade

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Tue 8:00 AMTue 12:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Tue 12:00 PMTue 6:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.1

    Tue 6:00 PMWed 12:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.0

    Wed 12:00 AMWed 7:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Wed 6:00 AMWed 1:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Launch and beach access

Cited to TPWD, Texas GLO beach-access plans, and NPS. 2WD/4WD is the county plan, not a guess.

  • Goose Island State Park

    TPWD state park

    Ramp, pier, wade shore. Copano / St. Charles.

    Official source
  • Packery Channel County Park

    Nueces County / TPWD-listed launch

    Ramp both sides of the cut. Wade the bars on a moving tide.

    Official source
  • Fulton Harbor

    Aransas County / TPWD-listed launch

    Copano and Aransas. Goose Island is the other public door.

    Official source
  • Rockport Beach

    City of Rockport / GLO beach access

    Bay beach, pier, and park. Not a Gulf drive-on corridor.

    Official source
  • Indian Point Park

    San Patricio County / TPWD-listed launch

    Corpus / Nueces. Pier and ramp. Winter drum water from the bank.

    Official source
  • Port Aransas Beach Access 1A

    City of Port Aransas / Texas GLO beach access

    Typical 2WD when packed. City + GLO plan. Jetties are a short walk north.

    Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — NOAA 8774770 Rockport did not answer).
  • Waxing gibbous moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Black drum

Pogonias cromis

8.4

Thermal window

46°88°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas: 5/day, 14–30 in. One over 52 in allowed as part of the bag.

Redfish

Sciaenops ocellatus

6.6

Thermal window

48°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas (Sep 1 2025–Aug 31 2026): 3/day, 20–28 in slot. One over 28 in per license year with a Red Drum Tag.

Speckled trout

Cynoscion nebulosus

6.6

Thermal window

44°90°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Texas: 3/day, 15–20 in slot. One over 28 in per license year with a Spotted Seatrout Tag (plus bonus). Soft mouth + slot = measure every fish.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Regs citedTPWD Outdoor Annual · Sep 1, 2025–Aug 31, 2026 · rolls in 7 days. Texas bag and season roll every September 1. The stamp is the book we cited, not a license.