Megalops atlanticus
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.
Bahamas · Andros
Permit should be the day — the creek mouths and the bights; tarpon live in the darker water.
Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2028-07-06, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
- Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
- No NDBC on this desk
- Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
- Glass · modeled
Forecast
low confidence
Forecast brief for Thursday, July 6. Back to this morning
Morning line
Andros 8.3 on Thursday, July 6. 7 mph ENE. Clear. YOLO day is Friday, August 28. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
outgoing · -0.17 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
From ENE · gust 8
Buoy
No station
None
No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Clear
Clear
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Glass
Open-Meteo modeled
29.96 inHg
1015 mb · no 3-hour change yet
Modeled mean sea level. Not a dock barometer. The glass is not a bite.
Moon
99% lit
Full
spring range · 99%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 1.6 ft
outgoing
-0.17 ft modeled
Coast
No live coast layer
Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.
Clock
Modeled M2
- HighThu 4:00 AM · 0.83
- LowThu 11:00 AM · -0.80
- HighThu 5:00 PM · 0.78
- LowThu 11:00 PM · -0.75
- HighFri 6:00 AM · 0.73
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Friday, August 28
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. full · spring · tide range ~1.5 ft · wind to 10 mph · Clouds · 15%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 7.5
creek bight · field manual · mid
Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.
- — creek bight on an outgoing tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Tarpon.
skiffflyspin - 7.0
hard flat · field manual · skinny
The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.
- — hard flat on an outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffwadefly - 7.0
hard flat · public structure · skinny
More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.
- — hard flat on an outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffwadefly
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Outgoing water
9.1Thu 8:00 AM → Thu 1:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Last light · incoming
10.0Thu 12:00 PM → Thu 7:00 PM
Last light on incoming water.
Last light · outgoing
10.0Thu 6:00 PM → Fri 1:00 AM
Last light on outgoing water.
First light · incoming
10.0Fri 12:00 AM → Fri 7:00 AM
First light on incoming water.
First light · outgoing
10.0Fri 7:00 AM → Fri 2:00 PM
First light on outgoing water.
Why — and who
- — Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Clear. Sky is workable.
- — Wind 7 mph ENE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
- — Full moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
8.4
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
—
Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 4 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.