On This Water

Bahamas · Andros

Permit should be the day — look, do not wade a high-slack school into the next zip code.

Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.

  • This brief is for 2027-07-20. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
  • Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
  • No NDBC on this desk
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
7.3OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Tuesday, July 20. Back to this morning

Morning line

Andros 7.3 on Tuesday, July 20 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.8-0.90.00.91.8HLHLHLHLTue 8 AMWed 8 AMThu 8 AMFri 8 AM
high slack · 0.76 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Buoy

No station

None

No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

97% lit

Waning gibbous

spring range · 97%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.7 ft

high slack

0.76 ft modeled

Coast

No live coast layer

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighTue 7:00 AM · 0.76
  • LowTue 2:00 PM · -0.81
  • HighTue 8:00 PM · 0.85
  • LowWed 2:00 AM · -0.88
  • HighWed 9:00 AM · 0.92

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • West side white sand

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    6.4

    The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.

    • hard flat on a high slack tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • East side ocean cays

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    6.4

    More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.

    • hard flat on a high slack tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • Bights and creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    6.0

    Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.

    • creek bight on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Tarpon.
    skiffflyspin

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    8.5

    Tue 9:00 AMTue 4:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Last light · incoming

    9.4

    Tue 3:00 PMTue 10:00 PM

    Last light on incoming water.

  • Last light · outgoing

    9.4

    Tue 9:00 PMWed 4:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • First light · incoming

    9.4

    Wed 3:00 AMWed 10:00 AM

    First light on incoming water.

  • Outgoing water

    7.1

    Wed 10:00 AMWed 5:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is high slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Waning gibbous moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

7.3

Thermal window

68°94°

In peak season for this water.

Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

7.3

Thermal window

66°92°

In peak season for this water.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

3.7

Thermal window

64°92°

Off-season here.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.