Tarpon
Megalops atlanticus
Thermal window
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In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.
Bahamas · Andros
Bonefish should be the day — west-side white sand — schools, then the double-digit singles.
Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2027-04-11, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
- ⚠ Rain is likely. Sight-fishing goes blind — this is not a bonefish / permit day.
- Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
- No NDBC on this desk
- Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
Forecast
low confidence
Forecast brief for Sunday, April 11. Back to this morning
Morning line
Andros 5.6 on Sunday, April 11. 4 mph E. Showers. YOLO day is Thursday, August 27. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
incoming · 0.44 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
From E · gust 10
Buoy
No station
None
No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Rain
Showers
Sight water goes blind. A marsh still fishes a shower.
Moon
25% lit
Waxing crescent
mid range · 25%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 2.9 ft
incoming
0.44 ft modeled
Coast
No live coast layer
Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.
Clock
Modeled M2
- LowSun 4:00 AM · -1.30
- HighSun 10:00 AM · 1.31
- LowSun 5:00 PM · -1.36
- HighSun 11:00 PM · 1.41
- LowMon 5:00 AM · -1.45
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Thursday, August 27
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. full · spring · tide range ~1.6 ft · wind to 15 mph · Clouds · 57%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 6.3
Bights and creeks
creek bight · field manual · mid
Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.
- — creek bight on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Tarpon, Bonefish.
skiffflyspin - 6.1
West side white sand
hard flat · field manual · skinny
The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.
- — hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — Rain blinds skinny water. Sight dies before the fish do.
- — In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
skiffwadefly - 6.1
East side ocean cays
hard flat · public structure · skinny
More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.
- — hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — Rain blinds skinny water. Sight dies before the fish do.
- — In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
skiffwadefly
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Incoming water
9.3Sun 8:00 AM → Sun 12:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Last light · outgoing
9.0Sun 12:00 PM → Sun 7:00 PM
Last light on outgoing water.
Last light · incoming
9.0Sun 6:00 PM → Mon 1:00 AM
Last light on incoming water.
First light · outgoing
7.9Mon 12:00 AM → Mon 7:00 AM
First light on outgoing water.
First light · incoming
9.3Mon 6:00 AM → Mon 1:00 PM
First light on incoming water.
Why — and who
- — Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Showers. Sight water goes blind. Wait it out or switch to stained marsh.
- — Wind 4 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
- — Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
8.4
Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
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In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
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In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.