On This Water

Bahamas · Andros

Bonefish should be the day — the creek mouths and the bights; tarpon live in the darker water.

Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.

  • This brief is for 2027-02-20, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
7.1OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Saturday, February 20. Back to this morning

Morning line

Andros 7.1 on Saturday, February 20. 1 mph NE. Overcast. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.2-0.60.00.71.3HLHLHLHLSat 7 AMSun 7 AMMon 7 AMTue 7 AM
outgoing · -0.53 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW1MPH

From NE · gust 10

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Overcast

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

99% lit

Full

spring range · 99%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.6 ft

outgoing

-0.53 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighSat 3:00 AM · 0.82
  • LowSat 10:00 AM · -0.80
  • HighSat 4:00 PM · 0.78
  • LowSat 10:00 PM · -0.74
  • HighSun 5:00 AM · 0.73

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Bights and creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.3

    Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.

    • creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin
  • West side white sand

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    6.7

    The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • East side ocean cays

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    6.7

    More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Sat 8:00 AMSat 12:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    8.8

    Sat 11:00 AMSat 6:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    8.8

    Sat 5:00 PMSun 12:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    7.8

    Sun 12:00 AMSun 7:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Sun 6:00 AMSun 1:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Overcast. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
  • Wind 1 mph NE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Full moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

6.6

Thermal window

66°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

4.8

Thermal window

68°94°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.