On This Water

Bahamas · Andros

Bonefish should be the day — the creek mouths and the bights; tarpon live in the darker water.

Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.

  • This brief is for 2027-01-22. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
8.1OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Friday, January 22. Back to this morning

Morning line

Andros 8.1 on Friday, January 22 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Sunday, August 30. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.4-0.70.00.71.4HLHLHLHLFri 7 AMSat 7 AMSun 7 AMMon 7 AM
outgoing · -0.28 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

100% lit

Full

spring range · 100%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.5 ft

outgoing

-0.28 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighFri 4:00 AM · 0.77
  • LowFri 10:00 AM · -0.74
  • HighFri 5:00 PM · 0.73
  • LowFri 11:00 PM · -0.73
  • HighSat 5:00 AM · 0.71

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Sunday, August 30 · 9.2

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.9 ft · wind to 18 mph · Clouds · 67%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Bights and creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.5

    Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.

    • creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin
  • West side white sand

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    7.0

    The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • East side ocean cays

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.0

    More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    8.5

    Fri 8:00 AMFri 12:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Fri 12:00 PMFri 7:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    7.4

    Fri 6:00 PMSat 1:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    7.4

    Sat 12:00 AMSat 7:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Sat 7:00 AMSat 2:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Full moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

4.8

Thermal window

68°94°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

4.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.