On This Water

Bahamas · Andros

Bonefish should be the day — west-side white sand — schools, then the double-digit singles.

Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.

  • This brief is for 2027-01-12. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
8.1OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Tuesday, January 12. Back to this morning

Morning line

Andros 8.1 on Tuesday, January 12 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Sunday, August 30. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.1-1.10.01.12.1LHLHLHLHTue 7 AMWed 7 AMThu 7 AMFri 7 AM
incoming · 1.07 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

22% lit

Waxing crescent

mid range · 22%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.7 ft

incoming

1.07 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowTue 3:00 AM · -1.25
  • HighTue 9:00 AM · 1.28
  • LowTue 3:00 PM · -1.31
  • HighTue 10:00 PM · 1.32
  • LowWed 4:00 AM · -1.38

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Sunday, August 30 · 9.2

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.9 ft · wind to 18 mph · Clouds · 67%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • West side white sand

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    7.7

    The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • East side ocean cays

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.7

    More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • Bights and creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.1

    Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.

    • creek bight on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    8.5

    Tue 8:00 AMTue 11:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Tue 10:00 AMTue 5:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Tue 4:00 PMTue 11:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    7.4

    Tue 11:00 PMWed 6:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    8.5

    Wed 5:00 AMWed 12:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

4.8

Thermal window

68°94°

Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

4.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.