On This Water

Bahamas · Andros

Bonefish should be the day — west-side white sand — schools, then the double-digit singles.

Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.

  • This brief is for 2026-12-12. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
  • Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
  • No NDBC on this desk
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
7.8OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Saturday, December 12. Back to this morning

Morning line

Andros 7.8 on Saturday, December 12 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Sunday, August 30. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.0-1.0-0.01.02.0HLHLHLHLSat 7 AMSun 7 AMMon 7 AMTue 7 AM
incoming · 1.02 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Buoy

No station

None

No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

10% lit

Waxing crescent

mid range · 10%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.2 ft

incoming

1.02 ft modeled

Coast

No live coast layer

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighSat 8:00 AM · 1.02
  • LowSat 2:00 PM · -1.06
  • HighSat 8:00 PM · 1.09
  • LowSun 3:00 AM · -1.14
  • HighSun 9:00 AM · 1.20

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Sunday, August 30

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.9 ft · wind to 18 mph · Clouds · 65%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • West side white sand

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    7.7

    The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • East side ocean cays

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.7

    More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • Bights and creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.1

    Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.

    • creek bight on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    7.4

    Sat 8:00 AMSat 10:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Sat 9:00 AMSat 4:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Last light · incoming

    9.4

    Sat 3:00 PMSat 10:00 PM

    Last light on incoming water.

  • Last light · outgoing

    7.4

    Sat 10:00 PMSun 5:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • First light · incoming

    8.5

    Sun 4:00 AMSun 11:00 AM

    First light on incoming water.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

4.8

Thermal window

68°94°

Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

4.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.