On This Water

Bahamas · Andros

Bonefish should be the day — wait for the flood on the west side.

Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.

  • This brief is for 2026-11-12, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
  • No NDBC on this desk
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
6.3OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Thursday, November 12. Back to this morning

Morning line

Andros 6.3 on Thursday, November 12. 4 mph E. Overcast. YOLO day is Sunday, August 30. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.0-1.00.01.02.0HLHLHLHLThu 7 AMFri 7 AMSat 7 AMSun 7 AM
low slack · 0.92 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW4MPH

From E · gust 8

Buoy

No station

None

No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Overcast

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

8% lit

Waxing crescent

mid range · 8%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.1 ft

low slack

0.92 ft modeled

Coast

No live coast layer

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighThu 8:00 AM · 0.92
  • LowThu 2:00 PM · -0.98
  • HighThu 8:00 PM · 1.03
  • LowFri 2:00 AM · -1.07
  • HighFri 8:00 AM · 1.09

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Sunday, August 30

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.9 ft · wind to 18 mph · Clouds · 65%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Bights and creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    5.7

    Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.

    • creek bight on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin
  • West side white sand

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    4.9

    The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.

    • hard flat on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • East side ocean cays

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    4.9

    More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.

    • hard flat on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Thu 9:00 AMThu 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Last light · incoming

    8.8

    Thu 3:00 PMThu 10:00 PM

    Last light on incoming water.

  • Last light · outgoing

    7.8

    Thu 9:00 PMFri 4:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • First light · incoming

    9.1

    Fri 3:00 AMFri 10:00 AM

    First light on incoming water.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Fri 10:00 AMFri 5:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is low slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Overcast. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
  • Wind 4 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

7.3

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

3.7

Thermal window

68°94°

Off-season here.

Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

3.7

Thermal window

66°92°

Off-season here.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.5

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

3.7

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.