Tarpon
Megalops atlanticus
Thermal window
—
Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.
Bahamas · Andros
Bonefish should be the day — the creek mouths and the bights; tarpon live in the darker water.
Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2026-10-07, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
Forecast
low confidence
Forecast brief for Wednesday, October 7. Back to this morning
Morning line
Andros 8.2 on Wednesday, October 7. 1 mph NE. Clear. YOLO day is Sunday, August 30. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
outgoing · -1.34 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge
Wind
OPEN-METEO
From NE · gust 10
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Clear
Clear
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Moon
16% lit
Waning crescent
mid range · 16%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 2.6 ft
outgoing
-1.34 ft modeled
Clock
Modeled M2
- LowWed 8:00 AM · -1.34
- HighWed 2:00 PM · 1.29
- LowWed 8:00 PM · -1.24
- HighThu 3:00 AM · 1.18
- LowThu 9:00 AM · -1.16
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Sunday, August 30 · 9.2
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.9 ft · wind to 18 mph · Clouds · 62%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
- 8.3
Bights and creeks
creek bight · field manual · mid
Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.
- — creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Tarpon, Bonefish.
skiffflyspin - 7.7
West side white sand
hard flat · field manual · skinny
The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.
- — hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
skiffwadefly - 7.7
East side ocean cays
hard flat · public structure · skinny
More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.
- — hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
skiffwadefly
When
Outgoing water
9.5Wed 8:00 AM → Wed 10:00 AM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Incoming water
9.5Wed 9:00 AM → Wed 4:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
9.2Wed 3:00 PM → Wed 10:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Incoming water
8.1Wed 9:00 PM → Thu 4:00 AM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Outgoing water
9.5Thu 4:00 AM → Thu 11:00 AM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Why — and who
- — Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Clear. Sky is workable.
- — Wind 1 mph NE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
- — Waning crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
6.6
Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
—
Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.