Tarpon
Megalops atlanticus
Thermal window
—
Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.
Bahamas · Andros
Permit should be the day — west-side white sand — schools, then the double-digit singles.
Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2026-09-30. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
Tide + moon
low confidence
Forecast brief for Wednesday, September 30. Back to this morning
Morning line
Andros 7.9 on Wednesday, September 30 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Wednesday, August 26. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
incoming · 0.77 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge
Wind
OPEN-METEO
No wind reading
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Sky not in
Sky not in
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Moon
84% lit
Waning gibbous
mid range · 84%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 2.6 ft
incoming
0.77 ft modeled
Clock
Modeled M2
- LowWed 4:00 AM · -1.09
- HighWed 10:00 AM · 1.16
- LowWed 4:00 PM · -1.22
- HighWed 10:00 PM · 1.26
- LowThu 4:00 AM · -1.29
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Wednesday, August 26 · 8.8
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waxing gibbous · spring · tide range ~1.9 ft · wind to 16 mph · Clouds · 49%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
- 7.7
West side white sand
hard flat · field manual · skinny
The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.
- — hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffwadefly - 7.7
East side ocean cays
hard flat · public structure · skinny
More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.
- — hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffwadefly - 7.1
Bights and creeks
creek bight · field manual · mid
Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.
- — creek bight on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Tarpon.
skiffflyspin
When
Incoming water
9.4Wed 8:00 AM → Wed 12:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
9.1Wed 11:00 AM → Wed 6:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Incoming water
9.1Wed 5:00 PM → Thu 12:00 AM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
8.0Wed 11:00 PM → Thu 6:00 AM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Incoming water
9.4Thu 5:00 AM → Thu 12:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Why — and who
- — Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Waning gibbous moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
6.6
Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
—
Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 8 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.